tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 4029 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → OKC 08:26 SLC 10:07 5% 4% 0.6% 93%
DL 3882 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → OKC 18:00 SLC 19:38 10% 5% 0.7% 92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Oklahoma City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → OKC 07:11 → MSP 09:18DL 3844 · flown by SkyWest 3h 11m Minneapolis MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651 8h 08m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:58UA 4751 · flown by SkyWest 1h 02m Denver DEN 08:00 → SLC 09:37UA 497 4h 32m 93% 85%
DeltaDetails → OKC 05:49 → ATL 08:56DL 1184 1h 14m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387 7h 21m 96% 84%
DeltaDetails → OKC 07:00 → ATL 10:10DL 1158 1h 46m Atlanta ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663 7h 50m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → OKC 09:01 → DEN 10:14UA 2609 1h 26m Denver DEN 11:40 → SLC 13:13UA 1963 5h 12m 94% 76%
DeltaDetails → OKC 11:09 → ATL 14:17DL 2490 1h 03m Atlanta ATL 15:20 → SLC 17:18DL 526 7h 09m 92% 72%
DeltaDetails → OKC 17:07 → ATL 20:29DL 2862 1h 35m Atlanta ATL 22:04 → SLC 00:10 +1DL 453 8h 03m 91% 70%
AmericanDetails → OKC 07:25 → DFW 08:30AA 2272 2h 38m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 11:08 → SLC 13:02AA 1871 6h 37m 94% 68%
Tight connection: often missed
FrontierDetails → OKC 20:20 → DEN 21:10F9 1927 1h 03m Denver DEN 22:13 → SLC 23:44F9 4251 4h 24m 68% 47%
UnitedDetails → OKC 09:22 → ORD 11:53UA 5823 · flown by SkyWest 52m Chicago ORD 12:45 → SLC 15:22UA 1955 7h 00m 66% 44%
AmericanDetails → OKC 15:19 → DFW 16:34AA 2929 49m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:23 → SLC 19:16AA 558 4h 57m 64% 40%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON