Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 6227 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	OMA 06:29	LAX 08:06	9%	3%	0.8%	92%
AA 6506 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	OMA 12:52	LAX 14:39	12%	5%	0.7%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Los Angeles on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Omaha). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	OMA 05:25 → ATL 08:42DL 1136	3h 58m Atlanta	ATL 12:40 → LAX 14:12DL 895	10h 47m	99%	83%
United Details →	OMA 06:00 → DEN 06:49UA 1442	3h 13m Denver	DEN 10:02 → LAX 11:34UA 405	7h 34m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	OMA 08:10 → SLC 09:52DL 3874 · flown by SkyWest	1h 38m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → LAX 12:27DL 829	6h 17m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	OMA 08:05 → MSP 09:30DL 3512 · flown by SkyWest	2h 00m Minneapolis	MSP 11:30 → LAX 13:23DL 2119	7h 18m	95%	80%
Delta Details →	OMA 06:00 → MSP 07:21DL 3864 · flown by SkyWest	1h 59m Minneapolis	MSP 09:20 → LAX 11:10DL 2102	7h 10m	97%	79%
United Details →	OMA 06:15 → IAH 08:37UA 2399	1h 45m Houston	IAH 10:22 → LAX 12:03UA 469	7h 48m	98%	78%
American Details →	OMA 06:20 → CLT 09:58AA 1042	2h 07m Charlotte	CLT 12:05 → LAX 14:21AA 1988	10h 01m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	OMA 17:24 → ATL 20:50DL 2364	2h 11m Atlanta	ATL 23:01 → LAX 00:47 +1DL 8783	9h 23m	97%	76%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	OMA 12:35 → ORD 14:21AA 3739 · flown by Envoy	1h 00m Chicago	ORD 15:21 → LAX 17:43AA 529	7h 08m	65%	33%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON