Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 25–32% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


OO 4672 SkyWest	ORD 09:44	GEG 11:57	25%	8%	1.6%	no record
AA 677 American Flight history →	ORD 12:36	GEG 14:35	32%	10%	1.2%	59%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Spokane is 2 h behind Chicago). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	ORD 06:00 → DEN 07:42UA 2806	3h 55m Denver	DEN 11:37 → GEG 13:02UA 295	9h 02m	100%	84%
Delta Details →	ORD 07:29 → LAX 10:00DL 1556	3h 00m Los Angeles	LAX 13:00 → GEG 15:35DL 3794 · flown by SkyWest	10h 06m	100%	82%
Delta Details →	ORD 05:30 → ATL 08:29DL 1264	1h 20m Atlanta	ATL 09:49 → GEG 11:34DL 814	8h 04m	95%	82%
Delta Details →	ORD 15:16 → LAX 17:34DL 967	3h 28m Los Angeles	LAX 21:02 → GEG 23:43DL 3576 · flown by SkyWest	10h 27m	94%	77%
Delta Details →	ORD 06:55 → SEA 09:27DL 2041	2h 01m Seattle	SEA 11:28 → GEG 12:47DL 3754 · flown by SkyWest	7h 52m	98%	75%
Delta Details →	ORD 13:44 → ATL 16:54DL 2894	2h 51m Atlanta	ATL 19:45 → GEG 21:32DL 1843	9h 48m	96%	74%
Delta Details →	ORD 13:00 → SEA 15:44DL 1564	2h 15m Seattle	SEA 17:59 → GEG 19:15DL 3832 · flown by SkyWest	8h 15m	93%	74%
Delta Details →	ORD 07:45 → SLC 10:15DL 2231	1h 15m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452	6h 27m	90%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	ORD 15:22 → ATL 18:36DL 1477	1h 09m Atlanta	ATL 19:45 → GEG 21:32DL 1843	8h 10m	73%	56%
United Details →	ORD 15:44 → DEN 17:18UA 2769	2h 22m Denver	DEN 19:40 → GEG 21:05UA 778	7h 21m	72%	48%
Alaska Details →	ORD 17:42 → SEA 20:21AS 337	1h 00m Seattle	SEA 21:21 → GEG 22:28AS 347	6h 46m	53%	35%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON