tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 19–25% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
MX 1443 Breeze PIT 13:22 RSW 16:12 19% 6% 1.9% no record
WN 3548 Southwest PIT 15:35 RSW 18:16 25% 9% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:06 → IAD 07:18UA 3679 · flown by Republic 57m Dulles IAD 08:15 → RSW 10:53UA 1406 4h 47m 94% 84%
DeltaDetails → PIT 07:52 → ATL 09:40DL 1383 3h 13m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196 6h 43m 98% 80%
DeltaDetails → PIT 05:45 → ATL 07:25DL 1504 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153 6h 26m 99% 80%
UnitedDetails → PIT 07:28 → EWR 09:03UA 3513 · flown by Republic 3h 18m Newark EWR 12:21 → RSW 15:36UA 1810 8h 08m 100% 79%
DeltaDetails → PIT 06:06 → DTW 07:20DL 5319 · flown by Endeavor 1h 13m Detroit DTW 08:33 → RSW 11:35DL 2001 5h 29m 94% 78%
AmericanDetails → PIT 05:04 → CLT 06:40AA 376 2h 26m Charlotte CLT 09:06 → RSW 11:16AA 2018 6h 12m 100% 76%
DeltaDetails → PIT 11:11 → ATL 13:00DL 1363 1h 59m Atlanta ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379 5h 33m 98% 75%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:15 → IAH 08:18UA 1859 1h 08m Houston IAH 09:26 → RSW 13:03UA 494 6h 48m 94% 74%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → PIT 14:10 → ORD 14:55UA 2180 1h 31m Chicago ORD 16:26 → RSW 20:34UA 2618 6h 24m 74% 49%
JetBlueDetails → PIT 13:11 → BOS 15:03B6 386 48m Boston BOS 15:51 → RSW 19:40B6 2065 6h 29m 53% 30%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON