Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: one nonstop, WN 3532 at 10:47, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 3532 Southwest	PNS 10:47	STL 12:42	9%	3%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach St Louis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	PNS 07:00 → ATL 09:17DL 3129	2h 59m Atlanta	ATL 12:16 → STL 13:03DL 566	6h 03m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	PNS 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 3019	1h 54m Atlanta	ATL 10:09 → STL 11:00DL 1400	5h 00m	95%	83%
Delta Details →	PNS 18:08 → ATL 20:35DL 2211	2h 35m Atlanta	ATL 23:10 → STL 23:53DL 1403	5h 45m	96%	77%
Delta Details →	PNS 09:22 → ATL 11:35DL 3103	3h 40m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → STL 16:06DL 543	6h 44m	99%	74%
Delta Details →	PNS 13:32 → ATL 15:48DL 1640	3h 24m Atlanta	ATL 19:12 → STL 20:03DL 2833	6h 31m	98%	74%
Delta Details →	PNS 11:57 → ATL 14:14DL 3198	2h 56m Atlanta	ATL 17:10 → STL 17:53DL 1393	5h 56m	98%	71%
American Details →	PNS 15:03 → MIA 17:47AA 3749 · flown by Envoy	2h 15m Miami	MIA 20:02 → STL 22:13AA 1594	7h 10m	96%	61%
American Details →	PNS 15:58 → DFW 18:03AA 2328	3h 58m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 22:01 → STL 23:57AA 1445	7h 59m	96%	60%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON