Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


B6 1552 JetBlue Flight history →	RSW 10:33	HPN 13:30	11%	5%	2.6%	90%
B6 1252 JetBlue Flight history →	RSW 17:00	HPN 20:07	18%	8%	3.2%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	RSW 06:45 → ATL 08:33DL 1361	1h 53m Atlanta	ATL 10:26 → HPN 12:46DL 2973	6h 01m	97%	82%
Delta Details →	RSW 08:03 → ATL 09:50DL 1395	2h 20m Atlanta	ATL 12:10 → HPN 14:33DL 5435 · flown by Endeavor	6h 30m	98%	79%
Delta Details →	RSW 11:20 → ATL 13:15DL 1089	2h 34m Atlanta	ATL 15:49 → HPN 18:12DL 5013 · flown by Endeavor	6h 52m	98%	73%
American Details →	RSW 07:49 → CLT 09:50AA 2241	1h 55m Charlotte	CLT 11:45 → HPN 13:46AA 5180 · flown by PSA	5h 57m	93%	72%
American Details →	RSW 11:29 → DCA 14:16AA 2916	2h 44m Washington	DCA 17:00 → HPN 18:28AA 5236 · flown by PSA	6h 59m	96%	54%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON