Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: MX 1337 at 05:58 is the safest bet, 8% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 27%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


MX 1337 Breeze	RSW 05:58	PIT 08:37	8%	3%	3.3%	no record
WN 3707 Southwest	RSW 17:14	PIT 19:53	27%	7%	1.2%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	RSW 06:45 → ATL 08:33DL 1361	2h 37m Atlanta	ATL 11:10 → PIT 12:52DL 1345	6h 07m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	RSW 08:03 → ATL 09:50DL 1395	3h 07m Atlanta	ATL 12:57 → PIT 14:42DL 1353	6h 39m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	RSW 05:35 → ATL 07:19DL 1385	1h 07m Atlanta	ATL 08:26 → PIT 10:11DL 1363	4h 36m	94%	86%
Delta Details →	RSW 11:20 → ATL 13:15DL 1089	1h 36m Atlanta	ATL 14:51 → PIT 16:36DL 1568	5h 16m	95%	82%
Delta Details →	RSW 17:49 → DTW 20:45DL 2559	2h 06m Detroit	DTW 22:51 → PIT 00:01 +1DL 5369 · flown by Endeavor	6h 12m	92%	76%
Delta Details →	RSW 13:16 → ATL 15:05DL 1153	2h 07m Atlanta	ATL 17:12 → PIT 18:57DL 3122	5h 41m	98%	76%
American Details →	RSW 06:59 → DFW 08:55AA 1281	2h 10m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:05 → PIT 14:56AA 2664	7h 57m	98%	76%
Delta Details →	RSW 15:41 → ATL 17:34DL 1196	2h 20m Atlanta	ATL 19:54 → PIT 21:39DL 2583	5h 58m	93%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
JetBlue Details →	RSW 11:19 → BOS 14:35B6 266	1h 06m Boston	BOS 15:41 → PIT 17:44B6 1785	6h 25m	70%	45%
American Details →	RSW 19:55 → CLT 21:59AA 1930	48m Charlotte	CLT 22:47 → PIT 00:16 +1AA 1962	4h 21m	61%	43%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON