Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: one nonstop, B6 2602 at 17:44, with a 26% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 2602 JetBlue Flight history →	SJU 17:44	HPN 21:41	26%	10%	1.6%	71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SJU 07:00 → ATL 10:58DL 1763	1h 12m Atlanta	ATL 12:10 → HPN 14:33DL 5435 · flown by Endeavor	7h 33m	97%	79%
JetBlue Details →	SJU 04:56 → MCO 08:05B6 234	3h 37m Orlando	MCO 11:42 → HPN 14:31B6 194	9h 35m	99%	74%
American Details →	SJU 12:35 → CLT 16:18AA 3187	2h 02m Charlotte	CLT 18:20 → HPN 20:29AA 5016 · flown by PSA	7h 54m	95%	70%
JetBlue Details →	SJU 14:58 → MCO 18:05B6 934	2h 11m Orlando	MCO 20:16 → HPN 23:08B6 1694	8h 10m	96%	65%
JetBlue Details →	SJU 14:27 → FLL 17:14B6 1454	1h 47m Fort Lauderdale	FLL 19:01 → HPN 22:09B6 914	7h 42m	86%	55%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON