Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 3882 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 13:40	OKC 17:03	11%	5%	0.7%	93%
DL 3703 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 20:30	OKC 23:52	13%	5%	0.8%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Oklahoma City is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	3h 11m Denver	DEN 10:05 → OKC 13:01UA 5324 · flown by SkyWest	6h 46m	100%	84%
American Details →	SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214	2h 00m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:46 → OKC 12:00AA 2734	6h 00m	98%	75%
Delta Details →	SLC 06:34 → ATL 12:20DL 907	2h 55m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → OKC 16:22DL 2862	8h 48m	100%	74%
Delta Details →	SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906	2h 20m Atlanta	ATL 21:42 → OKC 23:12DL 2423	8h 37m	95%	74%
United Details →	SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest	3h 08m Denver	DEN 13:35 → OKC 16:23UA 1656	6h 53m	99%	74%
Alaska Details →	SLC 06:01 → SEA 07:06AS 3344 · flown by SkyWest	1h 12m Seattle	SEA 08:18 → OKC 13:57AS 405	6h 56m	93%	72%
Delta Details →	SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924	3h 30m Minneapolis	MSP 18:10 → OKC 20:15DL 3791 · flown by SkyWest	8h 05m	99%	71%
United Details →	SLC 13:00 → IAH 17:12UA 497	2h 59m Houston	IAH 20:11 → OKC 21:43UA 1084	7h 43m	96%	68%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	SLC 16:45 → DFW 20:23AA 1456	1h 06m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:29 → OKC 22:33AA 1458	4h 48m	71%	43%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON