Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 4042 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 10:45	PSP 11:41	7%	4%	0.6%	99%
DL 3852 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 15:40	PSP 16:33	8%	4%	0.6%	88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Palm Springs is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	SLC 06:05 → SFO 07:19UA 4763 · flown by SkyWest	1h 19m San Francisco	SFO 08:38 → PSP 10:26UA 717	5h 21m	96%	86%
United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	1h 10m Denver	DEN 08:04 → PSP 09:38UA 614	5h 23m	97%	85%
American Details →	SLC 13:32 → PHX 14:18AA 6462 · flown by SkyWest	1h 19m Phoenix	PHX 15:37 → PSP 16:59AA 3949 · flown by Envoy	4h 27m	100%	78%
Alaska Details →	SLC 14:56 → SEA 15:56AS 734	3h 15m Seattle	SEA 19:11 → PSP 22:01AS 3285 · flown by SkyWest	8h 05m	99%	76%
United Details →	SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest	3h 26m Denver	DEN 13:53 → PSP 15:15UA 687	7h 45m	99%	75%
Alaska Details →	SLC 10:01 → SEA 11:03AS 719	3h 22m Seattle	SEA 14:25 → PSP 17:07AS 322	8h 06m	100%	75%
Alaska Details →	SLC 05:59 → SEA 07:05AS 3344 · flown by SkyWest	3h 16m Seattle	SEA 10:21 → PSP 13:03AS 457	8h 04m	99%	74%
American Details →	SLC 07:13 → PHX 07:57AA 6327 · flown by SkyWest	2h 42m Phoenix	PHX 10:39 → PSP 12:00AA 1884	5h 47m	96%	68%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON