tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: one nonstop, WN 331 at 11:00, with a 10% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 331 Southwest TUL 11:00 AUS 12:31 10% 3% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Austin on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → TUL 06:00 → ATL 09:04DL 1259 2h 01m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → AUS 12:25DL 2011 6h 25m 96% 81%
UnitedDetails → TUL 06:00 → DEN 07:00UA 5667 · flown by SkyWest 1h 00m Denver DEN 08:00 → AUS 11:15UA 456 5h 15m 90% 80%
AmericanDetails → TUL 12:57 → DFW 14:18AA 2352 3h 23m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:41 → AUS 18:50AA 3722 · flown by Envoy 5h 53m 100% 79%
DeltaDetails → TUL 10:04 → ATL 13:05DL 2754 1h 52m Atlanta ATL 14:57 → AUS 16:29DL 1397 6h 25m 99% 78%
DeltaDetails → TUL 08:00 → SLC 09:55DL 4006 · flown by SkyWest 1h 22m Salt Lake City SLC 11:17 → AUS 15:14DL 3955 · flown by SkyWest 7h 14m 96% 76%
AmericanDetails → TUL 06:07 → DFW 07:23AA 1090 3h 34m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:57 → AUS 12:10AA 1070 6h 03m 99% 75%
UnitedDetails → TUL 11:44 → DEN 12:44UA 5276 · flown by SkyWest 2h 51m Denver DEN 15:35 → AUS 18:48UA 1899 7h 04m 95% 69%
UnitedDetails → TUL 17:10 → DEN 18:10UA 5914 · flown by SkyWest 2h 41m Denver DEN 20:51 → AUS 00:16 +1UA 1943 7h 06m 95% 66%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON