Tuesday, October 13 · typical odds for a Tuesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 13: Delta via Detroit, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 81% chance of reaching Honolulu on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 837 Delta Flight history →	ATL 09:50	HNL 13:20	14%	4%	0.7%	80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Honolulu on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 6 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ATL 07:00 → DTW 08:54DL 1646	1h 37m Detroit	DTW 10:31 → HNL 13:43DL 385	12h 43m	99%	81%
Delta Details →	ATL 14:45 → LAX 16:17DL 753	2h 20m Los Angeles	LAX 18:37 → HNL 21:22DL 443	12h 37m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	ATL 09:15 → LAX 10:45DL 827	3h 10m Los Angeles	LAX 13:55 → HNL 16:43DL 465	13h 28m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	ATL 08:15 → SLC 10:14DL 830	1h 32m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:46 → HNL 14:31DL 861	12h 16m	97%	79%
Delta Details →	ATL 07:25 → MSP 09:00DL 2668	1h 21m Minneapolis	MSP 10:21 → HNL 13:30DL 372	12h 05m	96%	77%
Delta Details →	ATL 11:48 → SEA 13:54DL 629	2h 52m Seattle	SEA 16:46 → HNL 19:24DL 419	13h 36m	99%	75%
United Details →	ATL 08:51 → DEN 10:25UA 340	1h 35m Denver	DEN 12:00 → HNL 15:13UA 384	12h 22m	94%	75%
United Details →	ATL 07:05 → IAH 08:15UA 532	1h 55m Houston	IAH 10:10 → HNL 13:26UA 253	12h 21m	96%	73%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 13 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON