Tuesday, October 13 · typical odds for a Tuesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 13: Delta via LAX, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 70% chance of reaching Dallas-Fort Worth on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 6 American Flight history →	HNL 17:39	DFW 06:00	16%	5%	1.5%	88%
AA 102 American Flight history →	HNL 18:36	DFW 07:00	18%	6%	1.1%	75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 5 h ahead of Honolulu). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HNL 07:00 → LAX 15:33DL 422	1h 23m Los Angeles	LAX 16:56 → DFW 22:03DL 420	10h 03m	96%	70%
United Details →	HNL 07:10 → SFO 15:15UA 373	1h 25m San Francisco	SFO 16:40 → DFW 22:04UA 1336	9h 54m	93%	58%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 13 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON