Tuesday, October 13 · typical odds for a Tuesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 13: DL 379 at 07:15 is the safest bet, 16% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 36%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 379 Delta Flight history →	LGA 07:15	RSW 10:16	16%	4%	3.8%	86%
DL 2310 Delta Flight history →	LGA 15:46	RSW 18:57	36%	13%	3.9%	65%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	LGA 12:55 → DTW 14:51DL 1122	3h 50m Detroit	DTW 18:41 → RSW 21:42DL 461	8h 47m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	LGA 08:00 → ATL 10:29DL 364	2h 54m Atlanta	ATL 13:23 → RSW 15:10DL 1196	7h 10m	100%	82%
Delta Details →	LGA 09:00 → ATL 11:32DL 992	3h 27m Atlanta	ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379	7h 44m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	LGA 09:25 → DTW 11:24DL 1078	3h 04m Detroit	DTW 14:28 → RSW 17:22DL 1225	7h 57m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	LGA 06:05 → DTW 07:55DL 1231	2h 27m Detroit	DTW 10:22 → RSW 13:24DL 1055	7h 19m	98%	79%
United Details →	LGA 06:10 → ORD 07:49UA 2389	3h 21m Chicago	ORD 11:10 → RSW 15:18UA 2137	9h 08m	100%	79%
Delta Details →	LGA 16:00 → ATL 19:07DL 969	3h 33m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → RSW 00:23 +1DL 1217	8h 23m	97%	78%
Delta Details →	LGA 10:59 → ATL 13:20DL 993	3h 47m Atlanta	ATL 17:07 → RSW 18:55DL 1124	7h 56m	99%	77%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	LGA 18:00 → ATL 21:20DL 964	1h 20m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → RSW 00:23 +1DL 1217	6h 23m	75%	57%
Delta Details →	LGA 16:00 → ATL 19:07DL 969	48m Atlanta	ATL 19:55 → RSW 21:41DL 2215	5h 41m	58%	46%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 13 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON