Tuesday, October 13 · typical odds for a Tuesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 13 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 18–24% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 2437 Delta Flight history →	MSP 10:57	GEG 12:00	18%	4%	1.2%	89%
DL 2418 Delta Flight history →	MSP 18:48	GEG 19:51	24%	5%	0.9%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Spokane is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 07:41 → SLC 09:25DL 2628	2h 05m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452	6h 31m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	MSP 18:13 → SLC 20:07DL 2607	2h 45m Salt Lake City	SLC 22:52 → GEG 23:38DL 1466	7h 25m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:06 → LAX 09:00DL 2110	4h 00m Los Angeles	LAX 13:00 → GEG 15:35DL 3794 · flown by SkyWest	10h 29m	100%	83%
Delta Details →	MSP 15:15 → SEA 17:00DL 877	2h 57m Seattle	SEA 19:57 → GEG 21:13DL 3677 · flown by SkyWest	7h 58m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	1h 07m Atlanta	ATL 10:01 → GEG 11:44DL 566	8h 24m	94%	81%
Delta Details →	MSP 10:22 → SEA 11:56DL 889	3h 44m Seattle	SEA 15:40 → GEG 16:55DL 3857 · flown by SkyWest	8h 33m	100%	80%
Delta Details →	MSP 09:05 → SEA 10:59DL 868	3h 05m Seattle	SEA 14:04 → GEG 15:20DL 4145 · flown by SkyWest	8h 15m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651	1h 06m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503	5h 39m	92%	78%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 13 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON