Tuesday, October 13 · typical odds for a Tuesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 13: one nonstop, WN 3249 at 13:38, with a 18% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 3249 Southwest	PIT 13:38	RSW 16:21	18%	8%	1.4%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	PIT 07:38 → ATL 09:25DL 1383	3h 58m Atlanta	ATL 13:23 → RSW 15:10DL 1196	7h 32m	99%	82%
United Details →	PIT 06:15 → IAH 08:18UA 1859	1h 10m Houston	IAH 09:28 → RSW 13:04UA 494	6h 49m	96%	81%
Delta Details →	PIT 11:06 → ATL 12:52DL 1363	2h 07m Atlanta	ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379	5h 38m	97%	81%
Delta Details →	PIT 16:55 → ATL 18:48DL 1353	3h 52m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → RSW 00:23 +1DL 1217	7h 28m	100%	81%
United Details →	PIT 13:06 → IAH 15:27UA 4033 · flown by Mesa	2h 58m Houston	IAH 18:25 → RSW 21:47UA 2095	8h 41m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	PIT 06:00 → DTW 07:12DL 5319 · flown by Endeavor	3h 10m Detroit	DTW 10:22 → RSW 13:24DL 1055	7h 24m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	PIT 05:45 → ATL 07:25DL 1504	3h 00m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153	6h 26m	99%	78%
United Details →	PIT 07:02 → ORD 07:49UA 1803	3h 21m Chicago	ORD 11:10 → RSW 15:18UA 2137	8h 16m	97%	77%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	PIT 14:10 → ORD 14:55UA 2180	1h 31m Chicago	ORD 16:26 → RSW 20:34UA 2618	6h 24m	75%	49%
Delta Details →	PIT 13:00 → LGA 14:36DL 5694 · flown by Republic	1h 10m New York	LGA 15:46 → RSW 18:57DL 2310	5h 57m	67%	39%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 13 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON