Wednesday, October 14 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 14: United via SFO, leaving 13:50, is the safest bet: 72% chance of reaching Honolulu on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AS 270 Alaska Flight history →	ONT 06:58	HNL 11:02	14%	3%	0.6%	86%
AS 2608 Alaska	ONT 13:58	HNL 18:11	18%	5%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Honolulu on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind Ontario). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	ONT 13:50 → SFO 15:15UA 1375	3h 45m San Francisco	SFO 19:00 → HNL 21:43UA 638	10h 53m	98%	81%
United Details →	ONT 05:00 → DEN 08:20UA 2446	3h 40m Denver	DEN 12:00 → HNL 15:13UA 384	13h 13m	100%	81%
Delta Details →	ONT 06:29 → SLC 09:20DL 2708	2h 26m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:46 → HNL 14:35DL 861	11h 06m	98%	76%
American Details →	ONT 06:11 → PHX 07:30AA 1194	2h 36m Phoenix	PHX 10:06 → HNL 14:05AA 693	10h 54m	95%	75%
Delta Details →	ONT 11:59 → SEA 14:51DL 4070 · flown by SkyWest	1h 54m Seattle	SEA 16:45 → HNL 19:39DL 419	10h 40m	96%	73%
Alaska Details →	ONT 14:09 → SEA 16:50AS 575	3h 54m Seattle	SEA 20:44 → HNL 23:41AS 268	12h 32m	100%	67%
Alaska Details →	ONT 06:02 → SEA 08:44AS 607	3h 26m Seattle	SEA 12:10 → HNL 15:16AS 899	12h 14m	99%	61%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 14 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON