Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: Delta’s ATW → MSP flights land within a few points of 3 in 4 on time whatever the hour.

Nonstops


Delta	ATW	MSP	1h 20m	75%	1.9%	1,062	Flying now

Best connections, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.


American Details →	ATW 05:00 → ORD 06:14AA 3763 · flown by Envoy	2h 08m Chicago	ORD 08:22 → MSP 10:06AA 4162 · flown by Envoy	5h 08m	99%	88%
United Details →	ATW 08:45 → DEN 10:31UA 255	3h 11m Denver	DEN 13:42 → MSP 16:46UA 732	8h 01m	100%	84%
Delta Details →	ATW 07:00 → DTW 09:25DL 4176 · flown by SkyWest	2h 55m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → MSP 13:14DL 2697	6h 14m	97%	79%
United Details →	ATW 06:20 → ORD 07:51UA 4639 · flown by SkyWest	59m Chicago	ORD 08:50 → MSP 10:36UA 2805	4h 16m	87%	76%
Delta Details →	ATW 05:31 → ATL 08:43DL 1436	1h 12m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090	5h 59m	86%	76%
United Details →	ATW 08:15 → ORD 09:45UA 4190 · flown by GoJet	2h 55m Chicago	ORD 12:40 → MSP 14:20UA 2749	6h 05m	100%	76%
American Details →	ATW 14:03 → CLT 17:28AA 5360 · flown by PSA	3h 01m Charlotte	CLT 20:29 → MSP 22:13AA 2176	8h 08m	100%	70%
American Details →	ATW 11:15 → ORD 12:32AA 3391 · flown by Envoy	1h 04m Chicago	ORD 13:36 → MSP 15:20AA 4000 · flown by Envoy	4h 04m	89%	70%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	ATW 15:58 → CLT 19:22AA 5021 · flown by PSA	1h 07m Charlotte	CLT 20:29 → MSP 22:13AA 2176	6h 13m	67%	45%
United Details →	ATW 17:29 → ORD 18:59UA 4633 · flown by SkyWest	58m Chicago	ORD 19:57 → MSP 21:41UA 2005	4h 12m	59%	31%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning

ATL · 1h 12m · leaves 05:31 14%

Afternoon and evening

ORD · 58m · leaves 17:29 41%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.

Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.


American AA 3763 ATW 05:00 → ORD United UA 2805 ORD 08:50 → MSP Connection details →	2h 36m	5h 36m	98%	85%
United UA 4190 ATW 08:15 → ORD American AA 3719 ORD 11:45 → MSP Connection details →	2h 00m	5h 12m	93%	84%
United UA 4639 ATW 06:20 → ORD American AA 3375 ORD 11:47 → MSP Connection details →	3h 56m	7h 12m	92%	81%

Rank all connections, any airlines →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON