tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Connect in the morning. The same one-hour layover misses 1 time in 10 at 10 am and 1 time in 3 at 9 pm.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
Southwest AUS STL 2h 05m 78% 0.1% 973 Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach St Louis on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
SouthwestDetails → AUS 05:45 → DEN 07:00WN 282 3h 05m Denver DEN 10:05 → STL 13:20WN 1753 7h 35m 100% 96%
SouthwestDetails → AUS 05:10 → MSY 06:35WN 4942 1h 10m New Orleans MSY 07:45 → STL 09:35WN 3020 4h 25m 97% 93%
DeltaDetails → AUS 08:15 → ATL 11:30DL 2899 2h 39m Atlanta ATL 14:09 → STL 14:48DL 2700 6h 35m 98% 87%
SouthwestDetails → AUS 05:20 → MCO 09:00WN 4146 2h 10m Orlando MCO 11:10 → STL 12:40WN 3316 7h 20m 100% 83%
UnitedDetails → AUS 05:30 → IAH 06:33UA 1966 1h 27m Houston IAH 08:00 → STL 10:07UA 6214 · flown by Mesa 4h 37m 97% 83%
SouthwestDetails → AUS 09:22 → LAS 10:08WN 322 1h 02m Las Vegas LAS 11:10 → STL 16:25WN 2369 7h 03m 92% 83%
UnitedDetails → AUS 05:39 → DEN 06:58UA 361 2h 37m Denver DEN 09:35 → STL 12:42UA 652 7h 03m 99% 83%
United + Frontiertwo ticketsDetails → AUS 12:55 → DEN 14:14UA 1541 1h 56m Denver DEN 16:10 → STL 19:23F9 3302 6h 27m 98% 82%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → AUS 16:25 → TPA 19:55WN 4618 1h 15m Tampa TPA 21:10 → STL 22:35WN 4964 6h 15m 68% 44%
UnitedDetails → AUS 13:01 → ORD 15:57UA 456 48m Chicago ORD 16:45 → STL 18:13UA 4518 · flown by GoJet 5h 12m 57% 37%
AmericanDetails → AUS 18:26 → ORD 21:39AA 1398 1h 21m Chicago ORD 23:00 → STL 00:16 +1AA 1004 5h 50m 71% 36%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
PHX · 1h 02m · leaves 06:40 4%
CLT · 50m · leaves 06:16 7%
IAH · 1h 15m · leaves 09:35 8%
Afternoon and evening
DAL · 1h 10m · leaves 16:05 34%
ORD · 48m · leaves 13:01 43%
PHX · 55m · leaves 19:35 63%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON