tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Connect in the morning. The same one-hour layover misses 18% of the time at 8 am and 3 times in 5 at 10 pm.

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Baltimore on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
SouthwestDetails → BUR 17:20 → LAS 18:30WN 792 3h 40m Las Vegas LAS 22:10 → BWI 05:45 +1WN 2208 9h 25m 100% 93%
Delta + Southwesttwo ticketsDetails → BUR 16:54 → SLC 19:55DL 3693 · flown by SkyWest 3h 40m Salt Lake City SLC 23:35 → BWI 05:40 +1WN 3735 9h 46m 100% 82%
SouthwestDetails → BUR 16:35 → SMF 17:58WN 3474 3h 42m Sacramento SMF 21:40 → BWI 05:35 +1WN 3622 10h 00m 100% 81%
American + Southwesttwo ticketsDetails → BUR 18:38 → PHX 20:19AA 4944 · flown by SkyWest 2h 06m Phoenix PHX 22:25 → BWI 05:40 +1WN 1170 8h 02m 86% 79%
UnitedDetails → BUR 07:02 → SFO 08:30UA 488 1h 03m San Francisco SFO 09:33 → BWI 17:57UA 2664 7h 55m 82% 74%
SouthwestDetails → BUR 17:55 → SJC 19:05WN 840 2h 35m San Jose SJC 21:40 → BWI 05:45 +1WN 621 8h 50m 97% 70%
UnitedDetails → BUR 18:42 → SFO 20:10UA 1508 2h 30m San Francisco SFO 22:40 → BWI 07:10 +1UA 1340 9h 28m 83% 70%
SouthwestDetails → BUR 08:35 → DEN 11:50WN 351 2h 45m Denver DEN 14:35 → BWI 20:00WN 1045 8h 25m 100% 66%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → BUR 12:57 → DFW 18:22AA 1617 1h 15m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:37 → BWI 23:43AA 2251 7h 46m 72% 41%
UnitedDetails → BUR 20:22 → SFO 21:50UA 2854 50m San Francisco SFO 22:40 → BWI 07:10 +1UA 1340 7h 48m 41% 35%
SouthwestDetails → BUR 14:45 → DEN 18:10WN 138 55m Denver DEN 19:05 → BWI 00:35 +1WN 1500 6h 48m 71% 20%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
PHX · 50m · leaves 07:00 7%
SFO · 1h 03m · leaves 07:02 18%
Afternoon and evening
ATL · 1h 10m · leaves 13:55 19%
DFW · 1h 15m · leaves 12:57 28%
SFO · 50m · leaves 20:22 59%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON