tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No nonstop, and no clear pattern: the best connection reaches Dulles on time 82% of the time.

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dulles on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
Alaska + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → BUR 07:03 → SEA 09:44AS 444 3h 16m Seattle SEA 13:00 → IAD 21:06UA 2131 11h 03m 100% 91%
Southwest + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → BUR 07:10 → DEN 10:30WN 778 3h 23m Denver DEN 13:53 → IAD 19:22UA 347 9h 12m 100% 87%
Alaska + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → BUR 18:10 → PDX 20:25AS 649 3h 05m Portland PDX 23:30 → IAD 07:32 +1UA 498 10h 22m 96% 85%
Southwest + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → BUR 09:35 → LAS 10:45WN 4724 2h 38m Las Vegas LAS 13:23 → IAD 21:06UA 2382 8h 31m 100% 80%
DeltaDetails → BUR 12:37 → SLC 15:38DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest 1h 52m Salt Lake City SLC 17:30 → IAD 23:30DL 847 7h 53m 95% 78%
UnitedDetails → BUR 07:02 → SFO 08:30UA 488 2h 20m San Francisco SFO 10:50 → IAD 19:11UA 336 9h 09m 97% 75%
AlaskaDetails → BUR 10:10 → SEA 12:52AS 720 3h 09m Seattle SEA 16:01 → IAD 23:59AS 406 10h 49m 100% 73%
UnitedDetails → BUR 18:42 → SFO 20:10UA 1508 2h 55m San Francisco SFO 23:05 → IAD 07:30 +1UA 1083 9h 48m 90% 72%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → BUR 20:22 → SFO 21:50UA 2854 1h 15m San Francisco SFO 23:05 → IAD 07:30 +1UA 1083 8h 08m 60% 48%
UnitedDetails → BUR 18:42 → SFO 20:10UA 1508 1h 20m San Francisco SFO 21:30 → IAD 05:53 +1UA 357 8h 11m 50% 37%
UnitedDetails → BUR 10:53 → SFO 12:21UA 2386 54m San Francisco SFO 13:15 → IAD 21:25UA 1791 7h 32m 47% 35%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Afternoon and evening
ATL · 1h 18m · leaves 13:55 17%
SFO · 1h 20m · leaves 18:42 50%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON