tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Connect in the morning. The same one-hour layover misses 1 time in 10 at 10 am and 1 time in 4 at 6 pm.

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Burbank is 3 h behind Baltimore). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
SouthwestDetails → BWI 06:25 → LAS 08:25WN 973 1h 15m Las Vegas LAS 09:40 → BUR 10:55WN 2198 7h 30m 100% 94%
SouthwestDetails → BWI 06:10 → MDW 07:10WN 995 2h 55m Chicago MDW 10:05 → BUR 12:25WN 2741 9h 15m 98% 86%
Southwest + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → BWI 06:05 → DEN 07:50WN 4436 3h 25m Denver DEN 11:15 → BUR 12:48UA 2154 9h 43m 100% 85%
SouthwestDetails → BWI 07:00 → PHX 08:50WN 1049 3h 32m Phoenix PHX 12:22 → BUR 13:42WN 1493 9h 42m 100% 84%
Southwest + Deltatwo ticketsDetails → BWI 06:20 → ATL 08:15WN 4689 3h 03m Atlanta ATL 11:18 → BUR 12:57DL 483 9h 37m 100% 75%
SouthwestDetails → BWI 12:50 → SJC 15:25WN 186 1h 40m San Jose SJC 17:05 → BUR 18:15WN 3663 8h 25m 90% 74%
UnitedDetails → BWI 06:38 → SFO 09:28UA 2192 55m San Francisco SFO 10:23 → BUR 11:49UA 2115 8h 11m 92% 74%
SouthwestDetails → BWI 12:25 → SMF 15:00WN 4476 3h 38m Sacramento SMF 18:38 → BUR 19:52WN 3360 10h 28m 100% 74%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → BWI 16:23 → DEN 18:18UA 2012 55m Denver DEN 19:13 → BUR 20:43UA 2411 7h 20m 75% 50%
SouthwestDetails → BWI 16:55 → DEN 18:55WN 939 1h 30m Denver DEN 20:25 → BUR 21:50WN 1497 7h 55m 69% 29%
SouthwestDetails → BWI 14:50 → SFO 17:30WN 1101 1h 20m San Francisco SFO 18:50 → BUR 20:15WN 4228 8h 25m 43% 21%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
SFO · 55m · leaves 06:38 8%
ATL · 1h 03m · leaves 08:17 9%
PHX · 1h 00m · leaves 07:00 12%
Afternoon and evening
DEN · 1h 05m · leaves 15:10 30%
SFO · 1h 20m · leaves 14:50 57%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON