tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Connect in the morning. The same 75-minute layover misses 5% of the time at 8 am and 31% of the time at 7 pm.

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Newark on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
Southwest + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → BWI 06:15 → FLL 08:55WN 4627 2h 16m Fort Lauderdale FLL 11:11 → EWR 14:15UA 210 8h 00m 100% 89%
Southwest + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → BWI 08:10 → RDU 09:30WN 1067 3h 10m Raleigh/Durham RDU 12:40 → EWR 14:32UA 3443 · flown by Republic 6h 22m 100% 87%
Southwest + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → BWI 06:38 → BOS 08:08WN 883 2h 50m Boston BOS 10:58 → EWR 12:26UA 2394 5h 48m 100% 85%
AmericanDetails → BWI 05:02 → CLT 06:26AA 1708 1h 34m Charlotte CLT 08:00 → EWR 09:59AA 1782 4h 57m 98% 84%
AmericanDetails → BWI 06:15 → CLT 07:53AA 2670 2h 50m Charlotte CLT 10:43 → EWR 12:37AA 1819 6h 22m 98% 83%
Southwest + Deltatwo ticketsDetails → BWI 06:20 → ATL 08:15WN 4689 1h 48m Atlanta ATL 10:03 → EWR 12:24DL 2401 6h 04m 97% 80%
Southwest + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → BWI 10:22 → RIC 11:18WN 705 3h 20m Richmond RIC 14:38 → EWR 16:08UA 3415 · flown by Republic 5h 46m 100% 79%
UnitedDetails → BWI 08:16 → ORD 09:30UA 2749 2h 41m Chicago ORD 12:11 → EWR 15:39UA 606 7h 23m 100% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → BWI 17:32 → ORD 18:55UA 590 1h 12m Chicago ORD 20:07 → EWR 23:39UA 759 6h 07m 69% 42%
UnitedDetails → BWI 15:03 → IAH 17:19UA 2095 59m Houston IAH 18:18 → EWR 23:00UA 404 7h 57m 64% 41%
FrontierDetails → BWI 19:21 → ATL 21:39F9 1079 1h 01m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → EWR 01:05 +1F9 4602 5h 44m 69% 36%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
MSP · 1h 18m · leaves 06:19 5%
DEN · 1h 12m · leaves 08:30 6%
ATL · 1h 07m · leaves 07:00 6%
Afternoon and evening
ORD · 1h 12m · leaves 17:32 31%
ATL · 1h 01m · leaves 19:21 31%
IAH · 59m · leaves 15:03 36%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON