tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Connect in the morning. The same one-hour layover misses 8% of the time at 10 am and 45% of the time at 7 pm.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
Southwest BWI SMF 5h 45m 66% 0.8% 364 Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Sacramento on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Sacramento is 3 h behind Baltimore). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
SouthwestDetails → BWI 06:25 → LAS 08:25WN 973 1h 10m Las Vegas LAS 09:35 → SMF 11:10WN 1122 7h 45m 100% 92%
UnitedDetails → BWI 06:00 → IAH 08:16UA 1898 1h 44m Houston IAH 10:00 → SMF 12:07UA 2773 9h 07m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → BWI 06:19 → MSP 07:56DL 2872 2h 27m Minneapolis MSP 10:23 → SMF 12:11DL 1701 8h 52m 98% 91%
SouthwestDetails → BWI 07:10 → LAX 09:35WN 4322 2h 40m Los Angeles LAX 12:15 → SMF 13:35WN 265 9h 25m 100% 88%
United + Deltatwo ticketsDetails → BWI 07:00 → LAX 09:29UA 2318 2h 36m Los Angeles LAX 12:05 → SMF 13:32DL 3812 · flown by SkyWest 9h 33m 96% 85%
UnitedDetails → BWI 08:30 → DEN 10:25UA 2412 3h 10m Denver DEN 13:35 → SMF 15:10UA 662 9h 40m 99% 83%
Southwest + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → BWI 06:05 → DEN 07:50WN 4436 3h 40m Denver DEN 11:30 → SMF 13:05UA 1415 10h 00m 100% 82%
DeltaDetails → BWI 05:40 → ATL 07:31DL 2950 1h 45m Atlanta ATL 09:16 → SMF 11:07DL 904 8h 27m 97% 81%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → BWI 18:59 → SFO 21:50UA 504 1h 04m San Francisco SFO 22:54 → SMF 23:59UA 1302 8h 00m 60% 35%
UnitedDetails → BWI 17:32 → ORD 18:55UA 590 58m Chicago ORD 19:53 → SMF 22:37UA 1828 8h 05m 55% 32%
AmericanDetails → BWI 19:17 → DFW 21:42AA 1626 48m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 22:30 → SMF 23:59AA 509 7h 42m 41% 16%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
DEN · 1h 05m · leaves 08:30 8%
Afternoon and evening
SFO · 1h 04m · leaves 18:59 40%
ORD · 58m · leaves 17:32 45%
DFW · 48m · leaves 19:17 59%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON