tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Connect in the morning. The same one-hour layover misses 14% of the time at 10 am and barely half the time at 7 pm.

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Santa Ana on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Baltimore). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
Southwest + Alaskatwo ticketsDetails → BWI 13:50 → PDX 16:20WN 1048 3h 39m Portland PDX 19:59 → SNA 22:30AS 518 11h 40m 96% 92%
Southwest + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → BWI 06:05 → DEN 07:50WN 4436 3h 30m Denver DEN 11:20 → SNA 12:51UA 1320 9h 46m 100% 88%
Southwest + Frontiertwo ticketsDetails → BWI 06:25 → LAS 08:25WN 973 2h 52m Las Vegas LAS 11:17 → SNA 12:34F9 1699 9h 09m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → BWI 06:00 → IAH 08:16UA 1898 1h 14m Houston IAH 09:30 → SNA 10:59UA 1383 7h 59m 97% 86%
UnitedDetails → BWI 08:30 → DEN 10:25UA 2412 3h 00m Denver DEN 13:25 → SNA 14:56UA 1707 9h 26m 99% 85%
AlaskaDetails → BWI 07:03 → SEA 09:53AS 786 3h 56m Seattle SEA 13:49 → SNA 16:41AS 773 12h 38m 100% 85%
Southwest + Frontiertwo ticketsDetails → BWI 07:00 → PHX 08:50WN 1049 3h 30m Phoenix PHX 12:20 → SNA 13:42F9 4957 9h 42m 100% 81%
SouthwestDetails → BWI 15:45 → LAS 17:45WN 975 3h 30m Las Vegas LAS 21:15 → SNA 22:20WN 1590 9h 40m 100% 80%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → BWI 16:23 → DEN 18:18UA 2012 52m Denver DEN 19:10 → SNA 20:40UA 1704 7h 17m 71% 53%
UnitedDetails → BWI 17:32 → ORD 18:55UA 590 50m Chicago ORD 19:45 → SNA 22:19UA 308 7h 47m 45% 37%
AmericanDetails → BWI 15:46 → DFW 18:12AA 1629 1h 03m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:15 → SNA 20:22AA 806 7h 36m 59% 36%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
IAH · 1h 14m · leaves 06:00 3%
ORD · 1h 03m · leaves 05:44 8%
SFO · 55m · leaves 06:38 8%
Afternoon and evening
DEN · 52m · leaves 16:23 29%
DFW · 1h 03m · leaves 15:46 41%
ORD · 50m · leaves 17:32 55%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON