tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: airlines and hours on this route all land within a few points of 77% on time.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
Allegiant EWR AVL 2h 00m 80% 1.6% 126 Flying now
United EWR AVL 2h 13m 76% 5.8% 462 Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Asheville on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
AmericanDetails → EWR 05:00 → CLT 06:57AA 1113 2h 08m Charlotte CLT 09:05 → AVL 10:19AA 6030 · flown by Piedmont 5h 19m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → EWR 06:00 → ATL 08:24DL 2353 1h 41m Atlanta ATL 10:05 → AVL 11:10DL 573 5h 10m 93% 84%
AmericanDetails → EWR 07:30 → CLT 09:35AA 1575 3h 38m Charlotte CLT 13:13 → AVL 14:19AA 6112 · flown by Piedmont 6h 49m 98% 83%
United + Deltatwo ticketsDetails → EWR 06:00 → ATL 08:23UA 1012 3h 53m Atlanta ATL 12:16 → AVL 13:14DL 1182 7h 12m 100% 83%
UnitedDetails → EWR 06:30 → DEN 08:45UA 670 55m Denver DEN 09:40 → AVL 14:39UA 1464 8h 09m 94% 78%
DeltaDetails → EWR 16:29 → ATL 19:00DL 2322 3h 46m Atlanta ATL 22:46 → AVL 23:46DL 3116 7h 17m 98% 77%
United + Deltatwo ticketsDetails → EWR 08:45 → ATL 11:08UA 2669 2h 37m Atlanta ATL 13:45 → AVL 14:41DL 3099 5h 56m 95% 77%
UnitedDetails → EWR 09:20 → ORD 11:04UA 2290 2h 51m Chicago ORD 13:55 → AVL 16:58UA 5573 · flown by SkyWest 7h 38m 97% 76%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → EWR 19:29 → CLT 21:32AA 1811 1h 43m Charlotte CLT 23:15 → AVL 00:15 +1AA 5588 · flown by PSA 4h 46m 72% 44%
DeltaDetails → EWR 18:59 → ATL 21:46DL 2430 1h 00m Atlanta ATL 22:46 → AVL 23:46DL 3116 4h 47m 60% 42%
UnitedDetails → EWR 14:45 → ORD 16:28UA 2788 1h 17m Chicago ORD 17:45 → AVL 20:50UA 5663 · flown by SkyWest 6h 05m 63% 34%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
DEN · 55m · leaves 06:30 6%
CLT · 1h 04m · leaves 06:00 6%
ORD · 55m · leaves 05:30 12%
Afternoon and evening
CLT · 1h 12m · leaves 13:30 11%
ORD · 1h 17m · leaves 14:45 37%
ATL · 1h 00m · leaves 18:59 40%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON