Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: Delta’s FSD → MSP flights land within a few points of 82% on time whatever the hour.

Nonstops


Delta	FSD	MSP	1h 11m	82%	1.0%	1,745	Flying now

Best connections, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.


Delta Details →	FSD 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1237	3h 27m Atlanta	ATL 12:21 → MSP 13:57DL 2901	8h 37m	97%	83%
United Details →	FSD 06:00 → DEN 06:53UA 5701 · flown by SkyWest	2h 47m Denver	DEN 09:40 → MSP 12:40UA 397	6h 40m	98%	83%
American Details →	FSD 07:06 → ORD 09:05AA 4952 · flown by SkyWest	2h 40m Chicago	ORD 11:45 → MSP 13:27AA 3719 · flown by Envoy	6h 21m	96%	83%
United Details →	FSD 09:30 → DEN 10:16UA 2742	3h 26m Denver	DEN 13:42 → MSP 16:46UA 732	7h 16m	99%	82%
United Details →	FSD 11:35 → DEN 12:25UA 5319 · flown by SkyWest	3h 17m Denver	DEN 15:42 → MSP 18:46UA 2470	7h 11m	97%	73%
United Details →	FSD 07:35 → ORD 09:31UA 1857	3h 09m Chicago	ORD 12:40 → MSP 14:20UA 2749	6h 45m	99%	72%
United Details →	FSD 11:16 → ORD 13:14UA 4439 · flown by GoJet	2h 49m Chicago	ORD 16:03 → MSP 17:53UA 5871 · flown by SkyWest	6h 37m	96%	66%
American Details →	FSD 06:00 → DFW 08:20AA 2880	3h 35m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:55 → MSP 14:16AA 2122	8h 16m	99%	59%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	FSD 12:04 → ORD 14:00AA 4989 · flown by SkyWest	1h 43m Chicago	ORD 15:43 → MSP 17:32AA 4425 · flown by Republic	5h 28m	74%	49%
American Details →	FSD 12:40 → DFW 15:00AA 6194 · flown by SkyWest	59m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 15:59 → MSP 18:23AA 2148	5h 43m	71%	35%
American Details →	FSD 17:34 → DFW 19:58AA 1878	1h 32m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:30 → MSP 23:57AA 3149	6h 23m	75%	29%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning

ATL · 1h 01m · leaves 05:20 12%

DEN · 47m · leaves 06:00 16%

ORD · 54m · leaves 07:35 27%

Afternoon and evening

DFW · 59m · leaves 12:40 29%

ORD · 1h 02m · leaves 18:28 38%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.

Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.


American AA 6453 FSD 08:16 → PHX Delta DL 2208 PHX 11:51 → MSP Connection details →	2h 39m	8h 40m	97%	89%
United UA 1857 FSD 07:35 → ORD American AA 3719 ORD 11:45 → MSP Connection details →	2h 14m	5h 52m	94%	82%
United UA 5701 FSD 06:00 → DEN Delta DL 1675 DEN 09:19 → MSP Connection details →	2h 26m	6h 15m	97%	80%

Rank all connections, any airlines →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON