tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Connect in the morning. The same 75-minute layover misses 7% of the time at 8 am and 27% of the time at 7 pm.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
United IAD MSY 2h 51m 87% 0.6% 670 Flying now
Frontier IAD MSY – 100%few flights 0.0% 3 Not flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New Orleans on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (New Orleans is 1 h behind Dulles). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
UnitedDetails → IAD 06:10 → ORD 07:27UA 2070 2h 58m Chicago ORD 10:25 → MSY 12:55UA 1850 7h 45m 100% 95%
UnitedDetails → IAD 06:30 → DEN 08:22UA 2031 1h 28m Denver DEN 09:50 → MSY 13:39UA 2273 8h 09m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → IAD 06:30 → IAH 08:39UA 1935 3h 16m Houston IAH 11:55 → MSY 13:14UA 2385 7h 44m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → IAD 11:10 → DTW 12:44DL 2884 1h 39m Detroit DTW 14:23 → MSY 15:57DL 1652 5h 47m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → IAD 06:00 → ATL 07:46DL 2127 3h 19m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → MSY 11:42DL 2542 6h 42m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → IAD 17:59 → IAH 20:25UA 2217 1h 50m Houston IAH 22:15 → MSY 23:26UA 2474 6h 27m 94% 81%
UnitedDetails → IAD 08:29 → EWR 09:55UA 2396 2h 38m Newark EWR 12:33 → MSY 14:44UA 2468 7h 15m 99% 80%
United + Deltatwo ticketsDetails → IAD 08:45 → MSP 10:28UA 1998 2h 17m Minneapolis MSP 12:45 → MSY 15:25DL 2695 7h 40m 95% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → IAD 08:15 → ORD 09:36UA 1775 49m Chicago ORD 10:25 → MSY 12:55UA 1850 5h 40m 69% 65%
DeltaDetails → IAD 08:27 → ATL 10:17DL 3080 48m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → MSY 11:42DL 2542 4h 15m 73% 62%
UnitedDetails → IAD 17:42 → ORD 18:50UA 2497 1h 21m Chicago ORD 20:11 → MSY 22:46UA 1761 6h 04m 73% 43%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
ATL · 1h 12m · leaves 06:00 7%
DFW · 1h 19m · leaves 06:14 10%
DTW · 1h 10m · leaves 06:00 12%
Afternoon and evening
DEN · 1h 16m · leaves 14:35 9%
CLT · 1h 01m · leaves 20:22 30%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON