Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

The best bet has a stop: United via Bush (8h 37m) reaches Sacramento on time 95% of the time, against 81% on the nonstop.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
United IAD SMF 5h 58m 82% 1.4% 365 Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Ranked by chance you reach Sacramento on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Sacramento is 3 h behind Dulles). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.

UnitedDetails → IAD 06:30 → IAH 08:39UA 1935 1h 21m Houston IAH 10:00 → SMF 12:07UA 2773 8h 37m 100% 95%
United + Deltatwo ticketsDetails → IAD 07:00 → LAX 09:26UA 325 2h 39m Los Angeles LAX 12:05 → SMF 13:32DL 3812 · flown by SkyWest 9h 33m 99% 88%
United + Deltatwo ticketsDetails → IAD 09:00 → SEA 11:51UA 2101 2h 54m Seattle SEA 14:45 → SMF 16:47DL 4153 · flown by SkyWest 10h 47m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → IAD 06:00 → MSP 07:55DL 3996 · flown by SkyWest 2h 28m Minneapolis MSP 10:23 → SMF 12:11DL 1701 9h 11m 95% 88%
United + Deltatwo ticketsDetails → IAD 13:10 → LAX 15:42UA 1689 3h 09m Los Angeles LAX 18:51 → SMF 20:25DL 3759 · flown by SkyWest 10h 15m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → IAD 06:30 → DEN 08:22UA 2031 3h 08m Denver DEN 11:30 → SMF 13:05UA 1415 9h 35m 100% 82%
UnitedDetails → IAD 08:15 → DEN 10:10UA 792 3h 25m Denver DEN 13:35 → SMF 15:10UA 662 9h 55m 97% 81%
UnitedDetails → IAD 10:13 → DEN 12:05UA 1865 3h 58m Denver DEN 16:03 → SMF 17:41UA 1208 10h 28m 99% 81%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → IAD 15:02 → ATL 16:54DL 2135 1h 05m Atlanta ATL 17:59 → SMF 19:53DL 743 7h 51m 74% 57%
UnitedDetails → IAD 17:41 → DEN 19:45UA 599 55m Denver DEN 20:40 → SMF 22:15UA 1268 7h 34m 69% 39%
UnitedDetails → IAD 17:42 → ORD 18:50UA 2497 1h 03m Chicago ORD 19:53 → SMF 22:37UA 1828 7h 55m 53% 31%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON