tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: United’s IAH → ANC flights land within a few points of 84% on time whatever the hour.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
United IAH ANC 7h 21m 84% 0.0% 127 Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Anchorage on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Anchorage is 3 h behind Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
United + Alaskatwo ticketsDetails → IAH 05:04 → ORD 07:59UA 1044 2h 01m Chicago ORD 10:00 → ANC 13:42AS 1546 11h 38m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → IAH 12:58 → SFO 15:03UA 2756 3h 44m San Francisco SFO 18:47 → ANC 22:46UA 1594 12h 48m 97% 86%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:15 → DEN 06:47UA 1874 53m Denver DEN 07:40 → ANC 11:10UA 394 8h 55m 95% 84%
United + Alaskatwo ticketsDetails → IAH 08:00 → SEA 10:47UA 2654 4h 00m Seattle SEA 14:47 → ANC 17:26AS 660 12h 26m 100% 82%
United + Alaskatwo ticketsDetails → IAH 14:54 → LAX 16:27UA 1951 3h 04m Los Angeles LAX 19:31 → ANC 23:55AS 1899 12h 01m 100% 81%
UnitedDetails → IAH 07:20 → EWR 11:59UA 1886 3h 29m Newark EWR 15:28 → ANC 19:12UA 450 14h 52m 98% 80%
United + Alaskatwo ticketsDetails → IAH 09:30 → PDX 11:56UA 740 2h 34m Portland PDX 14:30 → ANC 17:16AS 1565 10h 46m 94% 80%
UnitedDetails → IAH 10:31 → DEN 12:07UA 1409 3h 28m Denver DEN 15:35 → ANC 19:12UA 1592 11h 41m 98% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → IAH 17:39 → PHX 18:28AA 640 50m Phoenix PHX 19:18 → ANC 23:59AA 1981 9h 20m 71% 42%
AmericanDetails → IAH 16:18 → DFW 17:48AA 3583 · flown by Envoy 52m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:40 → ANC 22:39AA 395 9h 21m 65% 41%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
ORD · 1h 05m · leaves 05:04 2%
DEN · 53m · leaves 05:15 5%
SEA · 58m · leaves 08:00 17%
Afternoon and evening
SFO · 1h 12m · leaves 15:30 16%
PHX · 50m · leaves 17:39 29%
DFW · 52m · leaves 16:18 35%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON