Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: Delta’s JAX → MSP flights land within a few points of 4 in 5 on time whatever the hour.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)


Delta	JAX	MSP	3h 15m	81%	0.9%	347	Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Jacksonville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.


Delta Details →	JAX 05:30 → ATL 06:42DL 2722	3h 13m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090	7h 00m	99%	87%
United + Americantwo ticketsDetails →	JAX 07:20 → ORD 09:12UA 1733	2h 33m Chicago	ORD 11:45 → MSP 13:27AA 3719 · flown by Envoy	7h 07m	97%	87%
Southwest + Deltatwo ticketsDetails →	JAX 06:20 → BNA 06:50WN 2155	3h 12m Nashville	BNA 10:02 → MSP 12:15DL 2724	6h 55m	100%	86%
American Details →	JAX 06:19 → CLT 07:46AA 1834	3h 29m Charlotte	CLT 11:15 → MSP 12:54AA 2153	7h 35m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	JAX 08:20 → ATL 09:36DL 2569	2h 45m Atlanta	ATL 12:21 → MSP 13:57DL 2901	6h 37m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	JAX 11:48 → ATL 13:03DL 2356	1h 28m Atlanta	ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:09DL 2825	5h 21m	100%	83%
American Details →	JAX 07:05 → ORD 08:53AA 2102	2h 54m Chicago	ORD 11:47 → MSP 13:32AA 3375 · flown by Envoy	7h 27m	99%	83%
United Details →	JAX 08:09 → DEN 09:55UA 671	3h 47m Denver	DEN 13:42 → MSP 16:46UA 732	9h 37m	99%	83%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	JAX 18:35 → ORD 20:34UA 6012 · flown by SkyWest	54m Chicago	ORD 21:28 → MSP 23:10UA 1131	5h 35m	62%	32%
American Details →	JAX 16:35 → PHL 18:54AA 5248 · flown by PSA	56m Philadelphia	PHL 19:50 → MSP 22:02AA 5460 · flown by PSA	6h 27m	54%	32%
Southwest Details →	JAX 19:02 → MDW 20:30WN 2164	1h 00m Chicago	MDW 21:30 → MSP 23:00WN 4085	4h 58m	62%	31%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning

BNA · 1h 20m · leaves 06:20 2%

MDW · 1h 10m · leaves 07:45 4%

ORD · 1h 13m · leaves 07:20 4%

Afternoon and evening

BNA · 1h 15m · leaves 20:55 30%

MDW · 1h 00m · leaves 19:02 38%

PHL · 56m · leaves 16:35 46%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.

Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON