tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: airlines and hours on this route all land within a few points of 78% on time.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
Allegiant LAS MEM 3h 20m 83% 0.0% 105 Flying now
Southwest LAS MEM 3h 15m 70% 0.9% 321 Flying now
Spirit LAS MEM 3h 18m 93% 0.0% 137 Not flying now
Frontier LAS MEM 3h 24m 74%few flights 0.0% 19 Not flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Memphis on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Memphis is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
Southwest + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → LAS 06:30 → DEN 09:20WN 2966 1h 45m Denver DEN 11:05 → MEM 14:26UA 1112 5h 56m 100% 92%
United + Americantwo ticketsDetails → LAS 23:59 → ORD 05:40UA 726 2h 26m Chicago ORD 08:06 → MEM 10:00 +1AA 3683 · flown by Envoy 8h 01m 100% 91%
AmericanDetails → LAS 22:41 → CLT 06:00AA 1454 3h 10m Charlotte CLT 09:10 → MEM 10:00 +1AA 2110 9h 19m 100% 89%
SouthwestDetails → LAS 23:25 → BNA 05:00WN 2191 3h 00m Nashville BNA 08:00 → MEM 09:05 +1WN 579 7h 40m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → LAS 23:10 → DTW 06:04DL 502 2h 41m Detroit DTW 08:45 → MEM 09:41 +1DL 3137 8h 34m 94% 87%
Southwest + Deltatwo ticketsDetails → LAS 22:50 → ATL 05:45WN 2179 3h 25m Atlanta ATL 09:10 → MEM 09:27 +1DL 2071 8h 40m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → LAS 00:33 → ATL 07:18DL 857 2h 52m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → MEM 10:37DL 2937 8h 04m 100% 86%
Southwest + Deltatwo ticketsDetails → LAS 07:35 → SLC 10:00WN 2957 3h 40m Salt Lake City SLC 13:40 → MEM 17:43DL 2515 8h 08m 100% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → LAS 16:34 → PHX 17:48AA 3186 1h 04m Phoenix PHX 18:52 → MEM 23:59AA 3923 · flown by Envoy 5h 25m 59% 42%
UnitedDetails → LAS 12:35 → EWR 20:40UA 1731 46m Newark EWR 21:26 → MEM 23:30UA 3563 · flown by Republic 8h 55m 56% 37%
UnitedDetails → LAS 14:25 → ORD 20:23UA 706 57m Chicago ORD 21:20 → MEM 23:21UA 2317 6h 56m 64% 36%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
DEN · 1h 10m · leaves 06:30 0%
Afternoon and evening
PHX · 1h 04m · leaves 16:34 41%
EWR · 46m · leaves 12:35 44%
DEN · 1h 10m · leaves 15:00 45%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON