tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Connect in the morning. The same one-hour layover misses 6% of the time at 12 pm and 31% of the time at 4 pm.

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (New York is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
SouthwestDetails → LAX 23:55 → MDW 05:55WN 2413 2h 10m Chicago MDW 08:05 → LGA 11:20 +1WN 2038 8h 25m 98% 93%
DeltaDetails → LAX 21:00 → BOS 05:28DL 507 1h 32m Boston BOS 07:00 → LGA 08:24 +1DL 2770 8h 24m 94% 86%
American + Deltatwo ticketsDetails → LAX 23:59 → BNA 06:08AA 2149 3h 17m Nashville BNA 09:25 → LGA 12:59 +1DL 5688 · flown by Republic 10h 00m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → LAX 21:45 → ATL 05:01DL 783 2h 29m Atlanta ATL 07:30 → LGA 09:42 +1DL 323 8h 57m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → LAX 22:35 → ORD 04:51UA 353 3h 09m Chicago ORD 08:00 → LGA 11:17 +1UA 2092 9h 42m 100% 85%
United + Deltatwo ticketsDetails → LAX 23:30 → ORD 05:46UA 1962 3h 49m Chicago ORD 09:35 → LGA 12:56 +1DL 2252 10h 26m 100% 85%
AmericanDetails → LAX 20:52 → MIA 05:01AA 2942 1h 55m Miami MIA 06:56 → LGA 09:59 +1AA 3205 10h 07m 94% 84%
Delta + Americantwo ticketsDetails → LAX 22:45 → ATL 06:07DL 899 3h 17m Atlanta ATL 09:24 → LGA 11:49 +1AA 4628 · flown by Republic 10h 04m 97% 83%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → LAX 23:40 → HOU 05:00WN 2402 50m Houston HOU 05:50 → LGA 10:15 +1WN 2013 7h 35m 52% 50%
UnitedDetails → LAX 08:15 → IAD 16:26UA 2268 49m Dulles IAD 17:15 → LGA 18:42UA 4077 · flown by Mesa 7h 27m 69% 46%
UnitedDetails → LAX 07:00 → ORD 13:14UA 1941 46m Chicago ORD 14:00 → LGA 17:22UA 1821 7h 22m 68% 41%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
ORD · 1h 14m · leaves 23:30 5%
MSP · 1h 01m · leaves 06:25 6%
DFW · 1h 15m · leaves 06:00 7%
Afternoon and evening
ORD · 56m · leaves 10:45 29%
DFW · 54m · leaves 10:37 29%
IAD · 49m · leaves 08:15 31%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON