tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

The nonstop is quickest: Delta LGA → DSM (3h 12m), on time 2 times in 3. Southwest via Midway (5h 05m) is more reliable, 82%, but takes 1h 53m longer.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
Delta LGA DSM 3h 12m 70% 4.8% 484 Flying now
American LGA DSM 3h 22m 67% 3.8% 260 Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Des Moines on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Des Moines is 1 h behind New York). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
AmericanDetails → LGA 06:30 → ORD 08:14AA 462 3h 16m Chicago ORD 11:30 → DSM 13:05AA 4676 · flown by Republic 7h 35m 99% 87%
SouthwestDetails → LGA 06:00 → MDW 07:20WN 2464 2h 50m Chicago MDW 10:10 → DSM 11:30WN 1771 6h 30m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:59 → ATL 09:20DL 342 3h 05m Atlanta ATL 12:25 → DSM 13:34DL 2094 7h 35m 99% 86%
SouthwestDetails → LGA 06:55 → DEN 09:05WN 2454 3h 00m Denver DEN 12:05 → DSM 14:50WN 1524 8h 55m 98% 85%
UnitedDetails → LGA 10:00 → DEN 12:20UA 716 1h 10m Denver DEN 13:30 → DSM 16:15UA 1311 7h 15m 96% 84%
American + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → LGA 07:23 → ORD 09:09AA 392 3h 50m Chicago ORD 12:59 → DSM 14:27UA 1781 8h 04m 99% 81%
UnitedDetails → LGA 06:00 → IAH 08:44UA 2371 3h 11m Houston IAH 11:55 → DSM 14:10UA 6166 · flown by Mesa 9h 10m 98% 80%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 550 1h 18m Atlanta ATL 09:33 → DSM 10:45DL 1704 5h 46m 96% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → LGA 16:59 → DEN 19:35UA 2834 1h 10m Denver DEN 20:45 → DSM 23:44UA 5389 · flown by SkyWest 7h 45m 68% 55%
AmericanDetails → LGA 14:11 → ORD 16:00AA 1705 1h 00m Chicago ORD 17:00 → DSM 18:33AA 4973 · flown by SkyWest 5h 22m 66% 31%
AmericanDetails → LGA 18:00 → DFW 21:06AA 2388 59m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 22:05 → DSM 23:58AA 1371 6h 59m 46% 21%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
MDW · 1h 20m · leaves 07:25 2%
ATL · 1h 18m · leaves 06:00 4%
DTW · 51m · leaves 06:05 7%
Afternoon and evening
DEN · 1h 10m · leaves 16:59 32%
ORD · 1h 00m · leaves 14:11 34%
DFW · 59m · leaves 18:00 54%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON