tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Connect in the morning. The same one-hour layover misses 5% of the time at 10 am and 17% of the time at 5 pm.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
Southwest MCI TPA 2h 35m 79% 0.3% 645 Flying now
Frontier MCI TPA 2h 40m 81%few flights 0.0% 27 Not flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Tampa on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
SouthwestDetails → MCI 06:15 → MDW 07:40WN 2569 1h 35m Chicago MDW 09:15 → TPA 12:50WN 2907 5h 35m 100% 88%
Southwest + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → MCI 05:55 → DEN 06:45WN 2545 2h 55m Denver DEN 09:40 → TPA 15:14UA 1010 8h 19m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → MCI 11:33 → DEN 12:38UA 5358 · flown by SkyWest 1h 17m Denver DEN 13:55 → TPA 19:33UA 2375 7h 00m 97% 83%
DeltaDetails → MCI 05:38 → ATL 08:44DL 1204 2h 30m Atlanta ATL 11:14 → TPA 12:45DL 1099 6h 07m 100% 81%
DeltaDetails → MCI 10:02 → AUS 12:11DL 3650 · flown by SkyWest 2h 44m Austin AUS 14:55 → TPA 19:01DL 3734 · flown by SkyWest 7h 59m 96% 81%
DeltaDetails → MCI 06:23 → MSP 07:54DL 1635 2h 10m Minneapolis MSP 10:04 → TPA 14:12DL 2696 6h 49m 98% 79%
UnitedDetails → MCI 06:00 → ORD 07:58UA 5485 · flown by SkyWest 3h 21m Chicago ORD 11:19 → TPA 15:12UA 1834 8h 12m 98% 79%
DeltaDetails → MCI 09:13 → MSP 10:50DL 4867 · flown by Endeavor 2h 29m Minneapolis MSP 13:19 → TPA 17:32DL 2264 7h 19m 96% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → MCI 15:16 → ORD 17:05UA 2792 51m Chicago ORD 17:56 → TPA 21:49UA 2865 5h 33m 63% 42%
SouthwestDetails → MCI 16:15 → DEN 17:05WN 2549 2h 10m Denver DEN 19:15 → TPA 00:55 +1WN 2232 7h 35m 69% 28%
SouthwestDetails → MCI 18:05 → STL 19:10WN 4341 50m St Louis STL 20:00 → TPA 23:18WN 4619 4h 15m 48% 25%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
ATL · 1h 16m · leaves 05:38 1%
CLT · 1h 16m · leaves 06:31 3%
DTW · 50m · leaves 06:25 6%
Afternoon and evening
IAH · 57m · leaves 14:56 17%
DFW · 51m · leaves 14:37 38%
STL · 50m · leaves 18:05 52%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON