tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: airlines and hours on this route all land within a few points of 4 in 5 on time.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
Southwest MCO MHT 2h 55m 79% 0.2% 494 Flying now
JetBlue MCO MHT 2h 58m 79% 1.2% 343 Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Manchester on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
SouthwestDetails → MCO 07:10 → BWI 09:30WN 1956 1h 25m Baltimore BWI 10:55 → MHT 12:25WN 1003 5h 15m 100% 88%
AmericanDetails → MCO 07:28 → PHL 10:05AA 1228 2h 50m Philadelphia PHL 12:55 → MHT 14:29AA 5840 · flown by Piedmont 7h 01m 100% 87%
SouthwestDetails → MCO 09:15 → BWI 11:30WN 2612 3h 25m Baltimore BWI 14:55 → MHT 16:25WN 1004 7h 10m 100% 83%
AmericanDetails → MCO 05:00 → CLT 06:45AA 1896 2h 25m Charlotte CLT 09:10 → MHT 11:37AA 5294 · flown by PSA 6h 37m 99% 81%
UnitedDetails → MCO 08:55 → IAD 11:14UA 276 1h 02m Dulles IAD 12:16 → MHT 14:02UA 4930 · flown by CommuteAir 5h 07m 96% 75%
UnitedDetails → MCO 16:45 → IAD 19:08UA 413 3h 02m Dulles IAD 22:10 → MHT 23:59UA 4270 · flown by CommuteAir 7h 14m 94% 75%
AmericanDetails → MCO 10:03 → CLT 11:54AA 2084 2h 47m Charlotte CLT 14:41 → MHT 17:02AA 5288 · flown by PSA 6h 58m 99% 68%
UnitedDetails → MCO 13:31 → IAD 15:50UA 2065 1h 25m Dulles IAD 17:15 → MHT 19:02UA 4932 · flown by CommuteAir 5h 31m 90% 66%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → MCO 17:37 → PHL 20:22AA 2109 1h 38m Philadelphia PHL 22:00 → MHT 23:38AA 5966 · flown by Piedmont 6h 01m 63% 51%
AmericanDetails → MCO 16:41 → ORD 18:59AA 2089 1h 12m Chicago ORD 20:11 → MHT 23:30AA 4149 · flown by Envoy 7h 01m 42% 33%
AmericanDetails → MCO 17:35 → CLT 19:34AA 2082 59m Charlotte CLT 20:33 → MHT 22:51AA 5033 · flown by PSA 5h 16m 48% 31%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
IAD · 1h 02m · leaves 08:55 4%
CLT · 1h 06m · leaves 06:15 6%
Afternoon and evening
MDW · 1h 20m · leaves 15:40 27%
CLT · 59m · leaves 17:35 52%
ORD · 1h 12m · leaves 16:41 58%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON