tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Connect in the morning. The same 80-minute layover misses 3% of the time at 9 am and 1 time in 3 at 8 pm.

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Santa Ana on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Orlando). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
Southwest + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → MCO 06:25 → DEN 08:15WN 2628 3h 05m Denver DEN 11:20 → SNA 12:51UA 1320 9h 26m 100% 88%
Southwest + Frontiertwo ticketsDetails → MCO 06:45 → LAS 08:25WN 2365 2h 52m Las Vegas LAS 11:17 → SNA 12:34F9 1699 8h 49m 100% 87%
Southwest + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → MCO 08:10 → DEN 10:00WN 2629 3h 25m Denver DEN 13:25 → SNA 14:56UA 1707 9h 46m 100% 86%
AlaskaDetails → MCO 07:00 → SEA 10:09AS 395 3h 40m Seattle SEA 13:49 → SNA 16:41AS 773 12h 41m 100% 86%
UnitedDetails → MCO 07:00 → IAH 08:35UA 468 3h 55m Houston IAH 12:30 → SNA 14:03UA 2780 10h 03m 100% 86%
SouthwestDetails → MCO 07:15 → PHX 08:45WN 2680 1h 10m Phoenix PHX 09:55 → SNA 11:15WN 3001 7h 00m 100% 85%
United + Alaskatwo ticketsDetails → MCO 10:00 → SFO 12:44UA 2017 3h 04m San Francisco SFO 15:48 → SNA 17:26AS 3494 · flown by SkyWest 10h 26m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → MCO 10:22 → EWR 13:05UA 2120 3h 55m Newark EWR 17:00 → SNA 20:06UA 1690 12h 44m 100% 81%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → MCO 17:45 → ATL 19:40DL 1150 1h 11m Atlanta ATL 20:51 → SNA 22:28DL 826 7h 43m 65% 51%
DeltaDetails → MCO 15:00 → MSP 17:38DL 1208 50m Minneapolis MSP 18:28 → SNA 20:24DL 2107 8h 24m 64% 43%
AmericanDetails → MCO 15:45 → DFW 17:47AA 2143 1h 28m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:15 → SNA 20:22AA 806 7h 37m 63% 40%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
PHX · 1h 10m · leaves 07:15 0%
DEN · 1h 18m · leaves 08:00 3%
SFO · 1h 07m · leaves 08:09 3%
Afternoon and evening
MSP · 50m · leaves 15:00 36%
DEN · 47m · leaves 17:17 42%
DFW · 46m · leaves 18:26 82%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON