tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Connect in the morning. The same one-hour layover misses 1 time in 10 at 11 am and barely half the time at 7 pm.

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Santa Ana on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Miami). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
UnitedDetails → MIA 06:30 → IAH 08:24UA 2074 1h 06m Houston IAH 09:30 → SNA 10:59UA 1383 7h 29m 95% 87%
Delta + Alaskatwo ticketsDetails → MIA 06:30 → SEA 10:00DL 2355 3h 49m Seattle SEA 13:49 → SNA 16:41AS 773 13h 11m 100% 86%
UnitedDetails → MIA 07:37 → DEN 10:00UA 2045 3h 25m Denver DEN 13:25 → SNA 14:56UA 1707 10h 19m 99% 86%
American + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → MIA 07:00 → IAH 08:50AA 603 3h 40m Houston IAH 12:30 → SNA 14:03UA 2780 10h 03m 98% 83%
Frontier + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → MIA 06:00 → DEN 08:37F9 1279 2h 43m Denver DEN 11:20 → SNA 12:51UA 1320 9h 51m 96% 83%
American + Deltatwo ticketsDetails → MIA 08:20 → SEA 11:56AA 654 3h 04m Seattle SEA 15:00 → SNA 17:47DL 2318 12h 27m 99% 79%
AmericanDetails → MIA 05:25 → DFW 07:40AA 1226 2h 00m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:40 → SNA 10:52AA 2672 8h 23m 98% 78%
UnitedDetails → MIA 08:00 → SFO 11:03UA 1257 2h 36m San Francisco SFO 13:39 → SNA 15:31UA 5440 · flown by SkyWest 10h 31m 99% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → MIA 15:30 → DFW 17:50AA 1199 1h 25m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:15 → SNA 20:22AA 806 7h 52m 71% 45%
DeltaDetails → MIA 14:40 → MSP 17:40DL 2129 48m Minneapolis MSP 18:28 → SNA 20:24DL 2107 8h 44m 64% 42%
UnitedDetails → MIA 16:10 → ORD 18:53UA 2106 52m Chicago ORD 19:45 → SNA 22:19UA 308 9h 09m 49% 40%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
IAH · 1h 06m · leaves 06:30 5%
DEN · 1h 20m · leaves 07:37 5%
ORD · 1h 01m · leaves 08:28 10%
Afternoon and evening
DEN · 47m · leaves 15:44 31%
MSP · 48m · leaves 14:40 36%
ORD · 52m · leaves 16:10 51%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON