tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: airlines and hours on this route all land within a few points of 85% on time.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
American MSN LGA 2h 25m 88% 6.3% 332 Flying now
Delta MSN LGA 2h 18m 83% 5.1% 664 Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (New York is 1 h ahead of Madison). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
UnitedDetails → MSN 05:00 → DEN 06:42UA 5545 · flown by SkyWest 1h 21m Denver DEN 08:03 → LGA 13:57UA 1442 7h 57m 99% 86%
American + Deltatwo ticketsDetails → MSN 05:00 → ORD 06:15AA 4322 · flown by Envoy 3h 20m Chicago ORD 09:35 → LGA 12:56DL 2252 6h 56m 96% 82%
American + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → MSN 05:00 → ORD 06:15AA 3702 · flown by Envoy 1h 45m Chicago ORD 08:00 → LGA 11:17UA 2092 5h 17m 100% 79%
AmericanDetails → MSN 07:00 → CLT 10:16AA 1002 2h 51m Charlotte CLT 13:07 → LGA 15:05AA 2036 7h 05m 99% 79%
DeltaDetails → MSN 05:48 → ATL 09:00DL 1160 2h 30m Atlanta ATL 11:30 → LGA 13:44DL 467 6h 56m 96% 79%
UnitedDetails → MSN 06:41 → ORD 07:54UA 5902 · flown by SkyWest 2h 09m Chicago ORD 10:03 → LGA 13:26UA 669 5h 45m 100% 78%
DeltaDetails → MSN 06:00 → MSP 07:09DL 1274 2h 56m Minneapolis MSP 10:05 → LGA 13:46DL 2764 6h 46m 97% 77%
DeltaDetails → MSN 07:00 → DTW 09:22DL 3665 · flown by SkyWest 2h 53m Detroit DTW 12:15 → LGA 14:00DL 1669 6h 00m 100% 75%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → MSN 18:32 → DTW 20:58DL 5214 · flown by Endeavor 52m Detroit DTW 21:50 → LGA 23:41DL 2603 4h 09m 70% 48%
UnitedDetails → MSN 15:18 → DEN 16:45UA 2338 50m Denver DEN 17:35 → LGA 23:30UA 2033 7h 12m 62% 37%
AmericanDetails → MSN 11:23 → DFW 13:45AA 2142 1h 03m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:48 → LGA 19:22AA 610 6h 59m 72% 36%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
DEN · 1h 10m · leaves 08:50 9%
DFW · 1h 07m · leaves 06:50 12%
Afternoon and evening
ATL · 56m · leaves 16:40 15%
DTW · 52m · leaves 18:32 30%
DEN · 50m · leaves 15:18 38%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON