Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: American’s MSN → PHX flights land within a few points of 4 in 5 on time whatever the hour.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)


American	MSN	PHX	3h 40m	81%	1.0%	592	Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Phoenix on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Phoenix is 2 h behind Madison). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.


American + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails →	MSN 05:00 → ORD 06:15AA 4322 · flown by Envoy	2h 47m Chicago	ORD 09:02 → PHX 11:03UA 2225	8h 03m	96%	90%
United + Southwesttwo ticketsDetails →	MSN 05:00 → DEN 06:42UA 5545 · flown by SkyWest	1h 58m Denver	DEN 08:40 → PHX 09:35WN 431	6h 35m	98%	88%
American + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails →	MSN 09:13 → ORD 10:30AA 4018 · flown by Envoy	3h 00m Chicago	ORD 13:30 → PHX 15:19UA 455	8h 06m	99%	84%
American Details →	MSN 07:00 → CLT 10:16AA 1002	1h 21m Charlotte	CLT 11:37 → PHX 12:56AA 588	7h 56m	95%	82%
United Details →	MSN 06:29 → EWR 09:50UA 3482 · flown by Republic	1h 34m Newark	EWR 11:24 → PHX 13:39UA 370	9h 10m	94%	81%
Delta Details →	MSN 07:00 → DTW 09:22DL 3665 · flown by SkyWest	3h 26m Detroit	DTW 12:48 → PHX 13:55DL 813	8h 55m	100%	80%
American Details →	MSN 05:00 → ORD 06:15AA 3702 · flown by Envoy	1h 10m Chicago	ORD 07:25 → PHX 09:09AA 769	6h 09m	100%	79%
United Details →	MSN 08:50 → DEN 10:20UA 2360	1h 05m Denver	DEN 11:25 → PHX 12:25UA 1686	5h 35m	89%	77%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	MSN 12:36 → CLT 16:02AA 5306 · flown by PSA	48m Charlotte	CLT 16:50 → PHX 18:14AA 1779	7h 38m	74%	51%
American Details →	MSN 13:17 → PHL 16:33AA 5471 · flown by PSA	57m Philadelphia	PHL 17:30 → PHX 19:37AA 1984	8h 20m	63%	38%
American Details →	MSN 16:11 → CLT 19:40AA 5307 · flown by PSA	55m Charlotte	CLT 20:35 → PHX 21:53AA 2923	7h 42m	59%	33%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning

DEN · 1h 18m · leaves 05:00 1%

DTW · 54m · leaves 09:30 9%

ORD · 1h 05m · leaves 08:10 10%

Afternoon and evening

DEN · 1h 04m · leaves 19:57 30%

PHL · 57m · leaves 13:17 37%

CLT · 54m · leaves 16:11 42%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.

Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON