Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: Delta’s MSN → MSP flights land within a few points of 82% on time whatever the hour.

Nonstops


Delta	MSN	MSP	1h 16m	82%	1.2%	1,556	Flying now

Best connections, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.


United Details →	MSN 05:00 → DEN 06:42UA 5545 · flown by SkyWest	2h 58m Denver	DEN 09:40 → MSP 12:40UA 397	7h 40m	100%	87%
American Details →	MSN 09:13 → ORD 10:30AA 4018 · flown by Envoy	1h 15m Chicago	ORD 11:45 → MSP 13:27AA 3719 · flown by Envoy	4h 14m	96%	87%
American Details →	MSN 05:00 → ORD 06:15AA 4322 · flown by Envoy	2h 07m Chicago	ORD 08:22 → MSP 10:06AA 4162 · flown by Envoy	5h 08m	96%	86%
Delta Details →	MSN 07:00 → DTW 09:22DL 3665 · flown by SkyWest	2h 58m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → MSP 13:14DL 2697	6h 14m	100%	83%
United Details →	MSN 05:00 → ORD 06:17UA 4707 · flown by SkyWest	2h 33m Chicago	ORD 08:50 → MSP 10:36UA 2805	5h 36m	97%	82%
Delta Details →	MSN 05:48 → ATL 09:00DL 1160	55m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090	5h 42m	91%	80%
American Details →	MSN 07:00 → CLT 10:16AA 1002	59m Charlotte	CLT 11:15 → MSP 12:54AA 2153	5h 54m	93%	79%
Delta Details →	MSN 16:40 → ATL 20:04DL 2599	2h 36m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → MSP 00:17 +1DL 1310	7h 37m	98%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	MSN 12:30 → ORD 13:42UA 5447 · flown by SkyWest	48m Chicago	ORD 14:30 → MSP 16:13UA 2298	3h 43m	59%	43%
American Details →	MSN 16:11 → CLT 19:40AA 5307 · flown by PSA	49m Charlotte	CLT 20:29 → MSP 22:13AA 2176	6h 00m	53%	38%
United Details →	MSN 17:45 → ORD 19:00UA 4603 · flown by GoJet	57m Chicago	ORD 19:57 → MSP 21:41UA 2005	3h 56m	58%	30%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning

ORD · 1h 17m · leaves 09:13 4%

DEN · 58m · leaves 05:00 4%

CLT · 59m · leaves 07:00 7%

Afternoon and evening

ORD · 57m · leaves 17:45 42%

CLT · 49m · leaves 16:11 47%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.

Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.


United UA 2151 MSN 08:10 → ORD American AA 3719 ORD 11:45 → MSP Connection details →	2h 25m	5h 17m	100%	87%
United UA 5902 MSN 06:41 → ORD American AA 3375 ORD 11:47 → MSP Connection details →	3h 53m	6h 51m	100%	86%
United UA 5545 MSN 05:00 → DEN Delta DL 1675 DEN 09:19 → MSP Connection details →	2h 37m	7h 15m	100%	85%

Rank all connections, any airlines →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON