tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: airlines and hours on this route all land within a few points of 3 in 4 on time.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
Alaska MSP ANC 6h 00m 95% 1.3% 75 Flying now
Delta MSP ANC 5h 54m 74% 0.3% 706 Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Anchorage on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Anchorage is 3 h behind Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
UnitedDetails → MSP 07:35 → IAH 10:30UA 2460 3h 50m Houston IAH 14:20 → ANC 18:41UA 2369 14h 06m 100% 84%
Delta + Alaskatwo ticketsDetails → MSP 09:00 → PDX 10:40DL 2415 3h 50m Portland PDX 14:30 → ANC 17:16AS 1565 11h 16m 99% 83%
Delta + Alaskatwo ticketsDetails → MSP 18:55 → SEA 20:48DL 881 3h 11m Seattle SEA 23:59 → ANC 02:40 +1AS 1363 10h 45m 95% 82%
UnitedDetails → MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307 1h 20m Chicago ORD 09:04 → ANC 12:56UA 840 9h 56m 97% 82%
Southwest + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → MSP 11:35 → DEN 12:35WN 4346 3h 00m Denver DEN 15:35 → ANC 19:12UA 1592 10h 37m 100% 81%
Delta + Alaskatwo ticketsDetails → MSP 09:05 → SEA 10:59DL 868 3h 48m Seattle SEA 14:47 → ANC 17:26AS 660 11h 21m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → MSP 07:00 → SEA 08:50DL 1418 1h 45m Seattle SEA 10:35 → ANC 13:15DL 922 9h 15m 100% 79%
UnitedDetails → MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041 47m Denver DEN 07:40 → ANC 11:10UA 394 8h 25m 88% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → MSP 15:20 → SFO 17:32UA 1367 1h 15m San Francisco SFO 18:47 → ANC 22:46UA 1594 10h 26m 71% 63%
AmericanDetails → MSP 15:11 → DFW 17:50AA 2145 50m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:40 → ANC 22:39AA 395 10h 28m 44% 28%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
ORD · 1h 20m · leaves 06:00 3%
DEN · 47m · leaves 05:45 12%
Afternoon and evening
ORD · 1h 18m · leaves 13:57 15%
SEA · 51m · leaves 16:57 23%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON