Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: Delta’s MSP → PVD flights land within a few points of 87% on time whatever the hour.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)


Delta	MSP	PVD	2h 45m	87%	0.0%	93	Flying now

Best connections, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Providence on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Providence is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.


Southwest Details →	MSP 05:00 → MDW 06:30WN 2520	1h 10m Chicago	MDW 07:40 → PVD 10:55WN 784	4h 55m	100%	90%
American Details →	MSP 06:28 → ORD 08:20AA 4803 · flown by Republic	1h 10m Chicago	ORD 09:30 → PVD 13:01AA 3453 · flown by Envoy	5h 33m	92%	86%
Southwest Details →	MSP 05:25 → BWI 08:50WN 3658	1h 55m Baltimore	BWI 10:45 → PVD 12:05WN 4628	5h 40m	100%	85%
United Details →	MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307	3h 01m Chicago	ORD 10:45 → PVD 14:25UA 4703 · flown by SkyWest	7h 25m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:26DL 1039	3h 36m Atlanta	ATL 14:02 → PVD 16:31DL 2314	8h 31m	99%	79%
Delta Details →	MSP 06:04 → DTW 08:47DL 1461	1h 23m Detroit	DTW 10:10 → PVD 12:10DL 3961 · flown by SkyWest	5h 06m	98%	78%
Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:48DL 1062	1h 12m Atlanta	ATL 10:00 → PVD 12:32DL 2147	6h 12m	94%	76%
American Details →	MSP 10:31 → ORD 12:16AA 4162 · flown by Envoy	1h 24m Chicago	ORD 13:40 → PVD 17:11AA 3771 · flown by Envoy	5h 39m	93%	75%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	MSP 17:36 → DTW 20:22DL 1435	58m Detroit	DTW 21:20 → PVD 23:20DL 3795 · flown by SkyWest	4h 44m	72%	53%
United Details →	MSP 15:16 → ORD 16:58UA 1531	52m Chicago	ORD 17:50 → PVD 21:33UA 5442 · flown by SkyWest	5h 17m	40%	27%
American Details →	MSP 17:46 → DCA 21:27AA 5416 · flown by PSA	1h 01m Washington	DCA 22:28 → PVD 23:59AA 5017 · flown by PSA	5h 13m	39%	12%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning

ATL · 1h 12m · leaves 05:20 6%

ORD · 1h 10m · leaves 06:28 7%

Afternoon and evening

DTW · 58m · leaves 17:36 28%

ORD · 52m · leaves 15:16 60%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.

Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.


United UA 307 MSP 06:00 → ORD American AA 3453 ORD 09:30 → PVD Connection details →	1h 46m	6h 01m	93%	86%
Delta DL 2357 MSP 07:10 → BWI Southwest WN 823 BWI 13:15 → PVD Connection details →	2h 33m	6h 25m	99%	80%
American AA 4803 MSP 06:28 → ORD United UA 4703 ORD 10:45 → PVD Connection details →	2h 25m	6h 57m	95%	80%

Rank all connections, any airlines →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON