Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Connect in the morning. The same one-hour layover misses 4% of the time at 11 am and almost half the time at 5 pm.

Nonstops


Delta	MSP	TPA	3h 11m	81%	1.0%	1,177	Flying now

Best connections, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Tampa on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.


Southwest Details →	MSP 05:00 → MDW 06:30WN 2520	2h 45m Chicago	MDW 09:15 → TPA 12:50WN 2907	6h 50m	100%	88%
United Details →	MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041	2h 47m Denver	DEN 09:40 → TPA 15:14UA 1010	8h 29m	99%	88%
Southwest Details →	MSP 07:45 → STL 09:15WN 2973	50m St Louis	STL 10:05 → TPA 13:25WN 3986	4h 40m	90%	82%
United Details →	MSP 11:34 → DEN 12:45UA 2232	1h 10m Denver	DEN 13:55 → TPA 19:33UA 2375	6h 59m	95%	82%
Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:48DL 1062	2h 26m Atlanta	ATL 11:14 → TPA 12:45DL 1099	6h 25m	98%	81%
United Details →	MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307	3h 35m Chicago	ORD 11:19 → TPA 15:12UA 1834	8h 12m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	MSP 20:20 → SLC 22:15DL 1051	1h 21m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:36 → TPA 05:45 +1DL 2077	8h 25m	91%	80%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:05 → LGA 10:44DL 2719	1h 51m New York	LGA 12:35 → TPA 15:34DL 2106	7h 29m	98%	80%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	MSP 15:16 → ORD 16:58UA 1531	58m Chicago	ORD 17:56 → TPA 21:49UA 2865	5h 33m	52%	36%
American Details →	MSP 11:19 → DCA 14:59AA 5311 · flown by PSA	47m Washington	DCA 15:46 → TPA 18:15AA 2773	5h 56m	49%	24%
Southwest Details →	MSP 17:40 → STL 19:10WN 2974	50m St Louis	STL 20:00 → TPA 23:18WN 4619	4h 40m	46%	24%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning

MIA · 1h 10m · leaves 06:00 4%

ATL · 1h 12m · leaves 05:20 6%

CLT · 1h 16m · leaves 06:19 6%

Afternoon and evening

PHL · 1h 08m · leaves 13:08 19%

DTW · 1h 00m · leaves 16:15 20%

ORD · 58m · leaves 15:16 48%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.

Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.


Southwest WN 1525 MSP 05:50 → DEN United UA 1010 DEN 09:40 → TPA Connection details →	2h 45m	8h 24m	100%	89%
Southwest WN 2965 MSP 10:45 → DEN United UA 2375 DEN 13:55 → TPA Connection details →	2h 10m	7h 48m	97%	83%
Delta DL 2783 MSP 07:05 → RDU Southwest WN 4442 RDU 13:20 → TPA Connection details →	2h 47m	7h 10m	98%	79%

Rank all connections, any airlines →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON