Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: Delta’s MSP → XNA flights land within a few points of 4 in 5 on time whatever the hour.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)


Delta	MSP	XNA	2h 01m	79%	1.0%	585	Flying now

Best connections, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fayetteville/Springdale/ on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.


United Details →	MSP 09:05 → DEN 10:21UA 1891	3h 09m Denver	DEN 13:30 → XNA 16:25UA 5641 · flown by SkyWest	7h 20m	99%	87%
United Details →	MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041	2h 57m Denver	DEN 09:50 → XNA 12:47UA 5267 · flown by SkyWest	7h 02m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:22DL 2651	2h 58m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:20 → XNA 21:03DL 3620 · flown by SkyWest	8h 34m	99%	83%
American Details →	MSP 06:28 → ORD 08:20AA 4803 · flown by Republic	3h 25m Chicago	ORD 11:45 → XNA 13:41AA 3848 · flown by Envoy	7h 13m	100%	82%
American Details →	MSP 06:19 → CLT 10:00AA 894	1h 44m Charlotte	CLT 11:44 → XNA 13:12AA 5444 · flown by PSA	6h 53m	97%	82%
American Details →	MSP 10:56 → CLT 14:36AA 2154	3h 29m Charlotte	CLT 18:05 → XNA 19:36AA 4087 · flown by Envoy	8h 40m	98%	79%
Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:48DL 1062	1h 27m Atlanta	ATL 10:15 → XNA 11:17DL 4082 · flown by SkyWest	5h 57m	96%	77%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:28 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	3h 51m Atlanta	ATL 15:45 → XNA 16:41DL 5128 · flown by Endeavor	8h 13m	100%	76%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	MSP 13:08 → ORD 14:53UA 5570 · flown by SkyWest	1h 02m Chicago	ORD 15:55 → XNA 17:57UA 5689 · flown by SkyWest	4h 49m	68%	44%
United Details →	MSP 18:23 → DEN 19:45UA 467	52m Denver	DEN 20:37 → XNA 23:44UA 5269 · flown by SkyWest	5h 21m	50%	38%
United Details →	MSP 18:41 → ORD 20:30UA 5390 · flown by SkyWest	1h 00m Chicago	ORD 21:30 → XNA 23:31UA 5767 · flown by SkyWest	4h 50m	56%	27%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning

ORD · 56m · leaves 06:00 12%

PHL · 52m · leaves 05:54 13%

Afternoon and evening

ATL · 58m · leaves 12:45 21%

ORD · 1h 16m · leaves 15:56 23%

DEN · 52m · leaves 18:23 50%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.

Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.


Delta DL 2849 MSP 08:55 → DEN United UA 5641 DEN 13:30 → XNA Connection details →	3h 25m	7h 30m	99%	87%
Southwest WN 1525 MSP 05:50 → DEN United UA 5267 DEN 09:50 → XNA Connection details →	2h 55m	6h 57m	100%	86%
United UA 2041 MSP 05:45 → DEN Frontier F9 4344 DEN 10:50 → XNA Connection details →	3h 57m	7h 55m	100%	85%

Rank all connections, any airlines →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON