tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No nonstop, and no clear pattern: the best connection reaches Baltimore on time 9 times in 10.

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Baltimore on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Oakland). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
SouthwestDetails → OAK 23:55 → MDW 06:00WN 3059 2h 55m Chicago MDW 08:55 → BWI 11:45 +1WN 1355 8h 50m 100% 90%
Delta + Southwesttwo ticketsDetails → OAK 17:05 → SLC 20:00DL 3903 · flown by SkyWest 3h 35m Salt Lake City SLC 23:35 → BWI 05:40 +1WN 3735 9h 35m 99% 81%
SouthwestDetails → OAK 05:45 → DEN 09:15WN 3041 1h 40m Denver DEN 10:55 → BWI 16:20WN 4434 7h 40m 98% 77%
Southwest + Alaskatwo ticketsDetails → OAK 17:30 → SEA 19:30WN 4747 2h 06m Seattle SEA 21:36 → BWI 05:41 +1AS 781 9h 11m 84% 76%
SouthwestDetails → OAK 19:00 → ONT 20:20WN 271 1h 20m Ontario ONT 21:40 → BWI 05:30 +1WN 3143 7h 30m 85% 76%
Alaska + Southwesttwo ticketsDetails → OAK 17:35 → PDX 19:12AS 2304 · flown by Horizon 2h 08m Portland PDX 21:20 → BWI 05:15 +1WN 3194 8h 40m 95% 76%
SouthwestDetails → OAK 06:20 → SAN 07:55WN 3073 3h 20m San Diego SAN 11:15 → BWI 19:20WN 3390 10h 00m 100% 71%
SouthwestDetails → OAK 08:20 → DEN 11:45WN 3042 2h 50m Denver DEN 14:35 → BWI 20:00WN 1045 8h 40m 100% 66%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → OAK 23:55 → MDW 06:00WN 3059 1h 00m Chicago MDW 07:00 → BWI 09:45 +1WN 2742 6h 50m 66% 59%
SouthwestDetails → OAK 13:25 → DEN 16:50WN 3043 1h 15m Denver DEN 18:05 → BWI 23:40WN 1499 7h 15m 65% 25%
SouthwestDetails → OAK 13:55 → HOU 19:40WN 4244 55m Houston HOU 20:35 → BWI 00:35 +1WN 1961 7h 45m 23% 13%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
MDW · 1h 00m · leaves 23:55 34%
Afternoon and evening
DEN · 1h 15m · leaves 13:25 35%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON