tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: airlines and hours on this route all land within a few points of 78% on time.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
United ORD SRQ 2h 57m 80% 0.6% 619 Flying now
American ORD SRQ 2h 55m 74% 2.1% 379 Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Sarasota/Bradenton on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Sarasota/Bradenton is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
United + Deltatwo ticketsDetails → ORD 07:12 → ATL 10:27UA 425 2h 13m Atlanta ATL 12:40 → SRQ 14:14DL 2438 6h 02m 97% 84%
DeltaDetails → ORD 05:30 → ATL 08:33DL 1264 1h 32m Atlanta ATL 10:05 → SRQ 11:45DL 3104 5h 15m 96% 79%
AmericanDetails → ORD 05:07 → CLT 08:10AA 2842 49m Charlotte CLT 08:59 → SRQ 10:50AA 2693 4h 43m 85% 76%
United + Deltatwo ticketsDetails → ORD 10:29 → ATL 13:44UA 2684 3h 31m Atlanta ATL 17:15 → SRQ 18:52DL 3115 7h 24m 96% 76%
DeltaDetails → ORD 06:00 → LGA 09:09DL 2767 1h 19m New York LGA 10:28 → SRQ 13:33DL 2412 6h 34m 96% 76%
DeltaDetails → ORD 09:45 → ATL 12:51DL 1178 2h 47m Atlanta ATL 15:38 → SRQ 17:17DL 3109 6h 32m 99% 74%
AmericanDetails → ORD 08:00 → CLT 11:08AA 3222 3h 43m Charlotte CLT 14:51 → SRQ 16:48AA 5627 · flown by PSA 7h 48m 97% 68%
DeltaDetails → ORD 15:22 → ATL 18:36DL 1477 2h 39m Atlanta ATL 21:15 → SRQ 22:52DL 1057 6h 31m 97% 67%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → ORD 13:30 → EWR 16:55UA 2759 3h 14m Newark EWR 20:09 → SRQ 23:15UA 1324 8h 45m 74% 47%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
LGA · 1h 19m · leaves 06:00 4%
CLT · 49m · leaves 05:07 15%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON