Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: Southwest’s PVD → BNA flights land within a few points of 84% on time whatever the hour.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)


Southwest	PVD	BNA	2h 35m	84%	1.3%	380	Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Nashville is 1 h behind Providence). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.


Southwest Details →	PVD 07:00 → MCO 09:45WN 4869	1h 15m Orlando	MCO 11:00 → BNA 12:00WN 4713	6h 00m	100%	84%
Delta Details →	PVD 06:00 → ATL 08:34DL 1023	2h 47m Atlanta	ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:33DL 2867	6h 33m	97%	83%
Southwest Details →	PVD 05:55 → BWI 07:25WN 3401	2h 20m Baltimore	BWI 09:45 → BNA 10:35WN 487	5h 40m	98%	83%
United Details →	PVD 05:50 → IAD 07:29UA 6192 · flown by Mesa	1h 01m Dulles	IAD 08:30 → BNA 09:29UA 1366	4h 39m	95%	82%
American + Southwesttwo ticketsDetails →	PVD 06:00 → DCA 07:39AA 3356 · flown by Envoy	2h 56m Washington	DCA 10:35 → BNA 11:30WN 1426	6h 30m	100%	82%
American + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails →	PVD 07:07 → ORD 08:59AA 360	3h 30m Chicago	ORD 12:29 → BNA 14:14UA 3634 · flown by Republic	8h 07m	96%	80%
United Details →	PVD 06:00 → ORD 08:00UA 5786 · flown by SkyWest	2h 37m Chicago	ORD 10:37 → BNA 12:29UA 2414	7h 29m	97%	78%
Delta Details →	PVD 14:50 → MSP 16:50DL 1224	3h 30m Minneapolis	MSP 20:20 → BNA 22:29DL 1144	8h 39m	100%	77%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	PVD 19:00 → MDW 20:30WN 3410	1h 10m Chicago	MDW 21:40 → BNA 23:05WN 4091	5h 10m	65%	39%
United Details →	PVD 17:00 → ORD 19:03UA 5702 · flown by SkyWest	54m Chicago	ORD 19:57 → BNA 21:45UA 2063	5h 45m	72%	32%
American Details →	PVD 14:59 → DCA 16:59AA 5334 · flown by PSA	47m Washington	DCA 17:46 → BNA 18:58AA 1163	4h 59m	51%	28%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning

IAD · 1h 01m · leaves 05:50 5%

ATL · 1h 18m · leaves 06:00 7%

CLT · 50m · leaves 06:03 14%

Afternoon and evening

BWI · 1h 05m · leaves 17:20 30%

MDW · 1h 10m · leaves 19:00 35%

DCA · 47m · leaves 14:59 49%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.

Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON