Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: Southwest’s PVD → MDW flights land within a few points of 86% on time whatever the hour.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)


Southwest	PVD	MDW	2h 30m	86%	1.5%	777	Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Chicago on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Chicago is 1 h behind Providence). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.


American + Southwesttwo ticketsDetails →	PVD 06:03 → CLT 08:15AA 1585	3h 20m Charlotte	CLT 11:35 → MDW 12:35WN 4529	7h 32m	97%	89%
Southwest Details →	PVD 08:30 → DCA 10:00WN 1426	2h 00m Washington	DCA 12:00 → MDW 13:00WN 1445	5h 30m	96%	82%
Delta Details →	PVD 06:00 → ATL 08:34DL 1023	2h 31m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → MDW 12:05DL 2417	7h 05m	97%	81%
American + Southwesttwo ticketsDetails →	PVD 06:16 → PHL 07:40AA 1008	3h 42m Philadelphia	PHL 11:22 → MDW 12:32WN 3224	7h 16m	100%	77%
Delta Details →	PVD 08:41 → ATL 11:17DL 2840	3h 58m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → MDW 16:15DL 1728	8h 34m	98%	70%
Southwest Details →	PVD 09:22 → BWI 10:48WN 3402	1h 42m Baltimore	BWI 12:30 → MDW 13:30WN 435	5h 08m	97%	67%
Southwest Details →	PVD 05:55 → BWI 07:25WN 3401	2h 10m Baltimore	BWI 09:35 → MDW 10:35WN 4217	5h 40m	98%	66%
Delta Details →	PVD 05:30 → DTW 07:40DL 3626 · flown by SkyWest	1h 10m Detroit	DTW 08:50 → MDW 09:14DL 4684 · flown by Endeavor	4h 44m	89%	65%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning

DTW · 1h 10m · leaves 05:30 11%

Afternoon and evening

ATL · 1h 01m · leaves 17:29 23%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.

Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON