tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: JetBlue’s PVD → SJU flights land within a few points of 82% on time whatever the hour.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
JetBlue PVD SJU 3h 46m 82% 1.7% 300 Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Juan on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
SouthwestDetails → PVD 07:00 → MCO 09:45WN 4869 2h 25m Orlando MCO 12:10 → SJU 15:05WN 1465 8h 05m 100% 88%
AmericanDetails → PVD 06:03 → CLT 08:15AA 1585 2h 48m Charlotte CLT 11:03 → SJU 14:50AA 783 8h 47m 97% 78%
UnitedDetails → PVD 05:50 → IAD 07:29UA 6192 · flown by Mesa 1h 05m Dulles IAD 08:34 → SJU 12:34UA 2021 6h 44m 96% 78%
DeltaDetails → PVD 08:41 → ATL 11:17DL 2840 1h 49m Atlanta ATL 13:06 → SJU 16:46DL 1946 8h 05m 96% 75%
JetBlue + Frontiertwo ticketsDetails → PVD 07:15 → MCO 10:12B6 1076 3h 45m Orlando MCO 13:57 → SJU 16:59F9 1824 9h 45m 98% 74%
AmericanDetails → PVD 06:16 → PHL 07:40AA 1008 1h 48m Philadelphia PHL 09:28 → SJU 13:33AA 903 7h 17m 100% 74%
JetBlueDetails → PVD 06:00 → JFK 07:04B6 1129 1h 25m New York JFK 08:29 → SJU 12:27B6 1603 6h 27m 98% 70%
UnitedDetails → PVD 06:00 → ORD 08:00UA 5786 · flown by SkyWest 49m Chicago ORD 08:49 → SJU 14:44UA 1996 8h 44m 88% 70%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → PVD 14:46 → IAD 16:34UA 6159 · flown by Mesa 50m Dulles IAD 17:24 → SJU 21:24UA 2025 6h 38m 72% 51%
SouthwestDetails → PVD 18:35 → MCO 21:30WN 284 55m Orlando MCO 22:25 → SJU 01:20 +1WN 2708 6h 48m 31% 7%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
IAD · 1h 05m · leaves 05:50 4%
ATL · 1h 11m · leaves 06:00 7%
ORD · 49m · leaves 06:00 12%
Afternoon and evening
ATL · 53m · leaves 13:27 20%
BWI · 1h 20m · leaves 17:20 20%
IAD · 50m · leaves 14:46 28%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON